Variance in sit and mtt

Hi everyone.

I guess there should be no exact calculation or statistics but, according to known facts, what is the probability of not entering prizes for example, "x" number of sit and go followed (double or nothing or common, short or long table), or "x" mtt in a row.
I imagine that the variance in mtt must be huge and rather smaller in a table sits but, if anyone has any ideas I will love to read it.

Thanks in advance and for always being there.

Best regards from Buenos Aires ..

As for not cashing that is a pretty simple mathematical calculation, if we ignore skill edges. In a 9 man SnG 3 players get paid, so the risk of not cashing is 6/9 = 67%. The risk of not cashing 2 times in a row is 6*6/(9*9) = 44%. The risk of not cashing 3 times in a row is 6*6*6/(9*9*9)=30%. And so on. In DONs the numbers are lower, since half the field gets paid, and in MTTs they are higher, since typically only 10-20% of the field gets paid.

fundiver199 said:

As for not cashing that is a pretty simple mathematical calculation, if we ignore skill edges. In a 9 man SnG 3 players get paid, so the risk of not cashing is 6/9 = 67%. The risk of not cashing 2 times in a row is 6*6/(9*9) = 44%. The risk of not cashing 3 times in a row is 6*6*6/(9*9*9)=30%. And so on. In DONs the numbers are lower, since half the field gets paid, and in MTTs they are higher, since typically only 10-20% of the field gets paid.

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Thank you very much my friend.

Best regards from Buenos Aires.