Originally Posted by F Paulsson
I'll kick this off with two questions on my own:
1. In the first hand, you don't mention balancing. Do you feel that you need to balance this? What other hands besides bluffs would you overbet here? And how often?
2. In the second hand, you do mention balancing, and I'm getting the idea that your overbet range is polarized. Is that right? As in, you wouldn't overbet KQ on this river if he checks to you, but I presume you would bet it for value?
1. Overbet bluffs are made more profitable when they are balanced, but I usually look at it the other way around, in that overbets for value are more profitable when overbet bluffs are in your range. Most people usually only think to overbet when they have it, so the bluffs work great because not only are they very profitable in their own right, but they also allow you to overbet for value more often. So as long as you can do this with the top of your range on occasion, the balancing will take care of itself.
There are a bunch of other hands I could overbet this river with for value, simply because we KNOW his is weak after that turn check-back. We don't have to worry about running into a big hand, so I could overbet QJ, J8, T9, AQ or a set.
2. My overbet range is fairly polarized against most opponents. Against guys who are paranoid about being bluffed and overly suspicious, then I'll de-polarize it and thats the type of guy I'd overbet AK/KQ on this board against. The other thing is the better you can read the opponent's hand range, the more you know your equity and his calling range, the more you can bullseye thin value overbets.