$.27 NLHE MTT: $.27 NLHE MTT: bad river card, now what?

beger80

beger80

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Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - 50/100 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

BTN: 3,360 (VPIP: 17.86, PFR: 14.81, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 56)
SB: 10,875 (VPIP: 7.02, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 57)
BB: 4,070 (VPIP: 29.70, PFR: 17.95, 3Bet Preflop: 9.26, Hands: 166)
UTG: 14,770 (VPIP: 70.00, PFR: 40.00, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 10)
UTG+1: 4,205 (VPIP: 6.98, PFR: 6.33, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 86)
Hero (MP): 14,312
MP+1: 10,090 (VPIP: 47.22, PFR: 2.94, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 36)
MP+2: 8,858 (VPIP: 24.46, PFR: 9.23, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 139)
CO: 2,305 (VPIP: 16.16, PFR: 6.25, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 99)

9 players post ante of 10, SB posts SB 50, BB posts BB 100

Pre Flop: (pot: 240) Hero has Kh Qc
fold, fold, Hero raises to 235, MP+1 calls 235, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 135

Flop : (845, 3 players) 4s Jd Ac
BB checks, Hero bets 478, MP+1 calls 478, BB calls 478

I cbet as it hits my range and plan to fold to any raise

Turn : (2,279, 3 players) Ts
BB checks, Hero bets 1,140, MP+1 raises to 2,280, fold, Hero calls 1,140

Bingo some how turn the nuts, bet/call here as I range him on two pair and feel he will bet/raise all rivers

River : (6,839, 2 players) Ad
Hero checks, MP+1 bets 4,560....

Uhoh now what? this is the worst card, can I fold?
 
Lucothefish

Lucothefish

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You could have jammed the turn when he minraised you, he's never ever folding when he does that

given the low pfr I think you're right to weight him towards 2pr / set when he raises that turn tho. That's a hard fold to make otr, but I can't see him take this line with anything you beat. gross
 
J

joe777

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Should raise at least 3/4 on the turn.
 
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