$15 NLHE MTT: AKs UTG+2 facing re raises

Thoughts here? Still early-ish in the tournament and no reads on villains.

Winning Poker, Hold'em No Limit - 200/400 (48 ante) - 9 players
Hand delivered by CardsChat

Flipaaaa (UTG): 18,748 (47 bb)
NicknameHere (UTG+1): 9,733 (24 bb)
royalburrito24 (MP): 21,670 (54 bb)
Mephisto6000 (MP+1): 36,435 (91 bb)
Da o Dinheiro (LP): 20,022 (50 bb)
Zibby34 (CO): 20,000 (50 bb)
1OneBadHabbit (BU): 89,628 (224 bb)
THESMITH1738 (SB): 19,810 (50 bb)
Chaboy3 (BB): 12,930 (32 bb)

Pre-Flop: (1,032) Hero (royalburrito24) is MP with K♦ A♦
2 players fold, royalburrito24 (MP) raises to 1,000, 3 players fold, 1OneBadHabbit (BU) 3-bets to 3,074, THESMITH1738 (SB) 4-bets to 6,348, 1 fold, royalburrito24 (MP) 5-bets to 21,622 (all-in), 1OneBadHabbit (BU) calls 18,548, THESMITH1738 (SB) calls 13,414 (all-in)

Bump

royalburrito24 said:

Thoughts here? Still early-ish in the tournament and no reads on villains.

Winning Poker, Hold'em No Limit - 200/400 (48 ante) - 9 players
Hand delivered by CardsChat

Flipaaaa (UTG): 18,748 (47 bb)
NicknameHere (UTG+1): 9,733 (24 bb)
royalburrito24 (MP): 21,670 (54 bb)
Mephisto6000 (MP+1): 36,435 (91 bb)
Da o Dinheiro (LP): 20,022 (50 bb)
Zibby34 (CO): 20,000 (50 bb)
1OneBadHabbit (BU): 89,628 (224 bb)
THESMITH1738 (SB): 19,810 (50 bb)
Chaboy3 (BB): 12,930 (32 bb)

Pre-Flop: (1,032) Hero (royalburrito24) is MP with K♦ A♦
2 players fold, royalburrito24 (MP) raises to 1,000, 3 players fold, 1OneBadHabbit (BU) 3-bets to 3,074, THESMITH1738 (SB) 4-bets to 6,348, 1 fold, royalburrito24 (MP) 5-bets to 21,622 (all-in), 1OneBadHabbit (BU) calls 18,548, THESMITH1738 (SB) calls 13,414 (all-in)

Click to expand...

Fine with this. The problem is that the 4-bettor should never be folding - he didn't quite make it to 33% of his stack, so I guess mathematically he can still fold, but we all know he's not folding.

So, the big advantage to AK is fold equity right - Poker 101, which we have 0% of here. However, we have 50BB ourselves, we're suited (top 16 combo's) here and we have excellent blockers to AA, KK, and AK.

I can't see a way out of this one - we're probably going to have to catch, or fade something stupid, but whatever...

Side note - right now I feel confident in saying the button is a horrible player. Name one hand, one hand, he should flat the 5-bet with? And with the SB never folding no less. Plus, his big stack early on is generally indicative of good play right?

So, I'm guessing we both have to catch and fade something stupid...

So you're potentially risking almost all your stack to flip? Easy fold for me

azforlife said:

So you're potentially risking almost all your stack to flip? Easy fold for me

Click to expand...

This is a tourney man.... and we're top 16 here; yes, I'll risk my stack on "potentially" a flip. And Potentially is a pretty big word there.

Main Event, 25 off the money bubble, maybe I fold...maybe....

royalburrito24 said:

Thoughts here? Still early-ish in the tournament and no reads on villains.

Winning Poker, Hold'em No Limit - 200/400 (48 ante) - 9 players
Hand delivered by CardsChat

Flipaaaa (UTG): 18,748 (47 bb)
NicknameHere (UTG+1): 9,733 (24 bb)
royalburrito24 (MP): 21,670 (54 bb)
Mephisto6000 (MP+1): 36,435 (91 bb)
Da o Dinheiro (LP): 20,022 (50 bb)
Zibby34 (CO): 20,000 (50 bb)
1OneBadHabbit (BU): 89,628 (224 bb)
THESMITH1738 (SB): 19,810 (50 bb)
Chaboy3 (BB): 12,930 (32 bb)

Pre-Flop: (1,032) Hero (royalburrito24) is MP with K♦ A♦
2 players fold, royalburrito24 (MP) raises to 1,000, 3 players fold, 1OneBadHabbit (BU) 3-bets to 3,074, THESMITH1738 (SB) 4-bets to 6,348, 1 fold, royalburrito24 (MP) 5-bets to 21,622 (all-in), 1OneBadHabbit (BU) calls 18,548, THESMITH1738 (SB) calls 13,414 (all-in)

Click to expand...

The cold 4-bet to that size looks pretty darn strong.

I think having only 2.5 bb invested and 52 behind I'd consider folding. Yes there's reason to think the button might be 3-betting light but no real reason for SB to cold 4-bet light vs an ep/mp open and this 3-bet.

With reads I'm happy to jam, without them I'd rather fold AK for anything more than say 35 BB

Hope you got there if you were up against it!