$25 NLHE 6-max: Analysis of this 25NL misplay
This is a hand that was posted on 2+2..
Just wanted to give my analysis with it and see others comments on my analysis.
Here is the hand (NOT PLAYED BY ME)
Vs aggro villain reg who 4bets alot. I definitly thought villain would be 4betting wider pre since I have been 3betting villain very often. Think calling might be better preflop since I have been 3betting quite high vs this guy and there is a fish in SB
Poker Stars $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2976304
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
Hero (BTN): $64.42
SB: $41.65 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 18, 3B: 1, AF: 1.0, Hands: 229
BB: $63.08 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 17, 3B: 6, AF: 3.4, Hands: 192
UTG: $52.52 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 20, 3B: 11, AF: 3.9, Hands: 1041
MP: $359.96 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 3.8, Hands: 548
CO: $50.81 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 8.5, Hands: 300
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with J T
1 fold, MP raises to $1.25, 1 fold, Hero raises to $3.75, 2 folds, MP raises to $9.50, Hero calls $5.75
Flop: ($19.75) 3 T 4 (2 players)
MP bets $6.94, Hero calls $6.94
Turn: ($33.63) T (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks
River: ($33.63) 8 (2 players)
MP bets $15.00, Hero raises to $47.98, MP calls $32.98
Final Pot: $129.59
Hero shows J T
MP shows T A
MP wins $127.59
HIS NOTES ARE INCLUDED UP TOP
Last hand seems to be highly misplayed..
Why are you even 3betting there unless it's a very TIGHT player who you can steal from..
You should snap fold and move on. You seem to be invested to much in "sexy" hands.. like J10S. Looks cool to play, but realistically you're crushed often.. especially in this spot.
His range on the 4bet really should be AKs and QQ+ most likely KK+ like a lot of regulars @25NL.
Call is speculative on flop, yes you flopped top pair.. but are you EVER good after he raises like that? Are you hoping he has AK??
Turn is just an amazing card for you.. You have to assess his range.. You got yourself in this sticky spot in the first place.. I wouldn't check back here ever.. I'd put a raise in (assuming we cap bottom of range at AK). Might get fold from AK, and that sucks for you but.. that is the bottom of his range. He doesn't put you on a 10 here (probably AK+ as well) so you need to fire a bet here, he will call with overpairs and you get value.
The fact you checked back forced him to bet on the river to try and cap his value, you should flat and move on. You have to put a 4bet/call range at AK+.. you got coolered in sorts.. but you deserved it because you shouldn't of been involved in the hand in the first place. You should of folded once he 4bet, and moved on.
sorry, this is my analysis of the situation. Prefer others comments.