Originally Posted by seventhsense
The board didn't change but the dynamic does as OP's range gets stronger when he barrels.
Are you saying if you hit TP, you're calling 3 barrels if the turn and river brick because the board didn't change?
Depending on my read, and my cards, but yeah maybe. I'm usually not the one calling though, I'm the one that's betting.
But I do sometimes do call downs, if I think my opponent is bluffing, and the only way I can get him to continue putting $$$ in the pot, is by checking and calling, like I am trying to draw.
Originally Posted by duggs
im firing turn at least, river probably as well.
I get this, and depending on villain I may fire turn, but might not. I can count on one hand the amount of times I 3 barrel bluff in one year. It's expensive, and live players just don't like to fold.
Not to mention effective stacks are $150 to start, so how much FE do we really have on this river, if our V calls the turn? How much do we bet? $15/$35/ship?$75?
If the dude calls the turn, he rarely folds river. It's super high variance, and we run into it a bunch.
And while it may work once in a while, it's not worth the risk. We don't need to be triple barreling with air to beat $1/$2 live. It's a high variance line that isn't necessary. Usually when villains call turn, they aren't folding the river. Edit: I don't expect him to fold this turn alot, with whatever he called flop with.
If we hit, yeah great. You know the numbers as well as anyone. What % are we when we miss turn, for hitting a flush on the river? An Ace?
However, in this case, if we had bet turn, bet river, yes it might
work cause of that king coming off. But we don't really know it's going to come off when/if we bet turn. Hell, we might be able to check back turn, and still steal on the river here, for cheaper? But I just don't think it's very likely he folds if we take that route either, because it looks fishy then.