This is a discussion on $10 NLHE 6-max: Check flop, check turn, overbet shove river within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; 10NL 6-max zoom on PokerStars. Villain is unknown.
Hero (CO): $16.38
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with T♦ T♥
UTG raises to
River: ($5.45) T♣ (2 players)
UTG bets $7.94 all in, Hero calls $7.94
What do you think about the way I played this hand? I only called preflop to try to set mine (thinking that the villain probably had AA/KK and would never fold postflop) and was surprised to see him check twice then overbet shove the river.
1st May 2016, 11:43 AM
Online Poker at: Pokerstars
Game: Texas Holdem
Holy hand histories, Batman!
It that's the range you assign him preflop to make the setmining call, then that's not a profitable proposition, and you should fold.
Add QQ and AK to the range and it's ok. Add a couple of 4-bet bluffs with Ax and you're gold.
Postflop is perfect, imo. It feels like he has QQ/AA and is trapping, but there's going to be bluffs in his range too, or a scared JJ. If it's QQ, so be it.
LOL if it's J9.
1st May 2016, 2:28 PM
6bet me 
Poker at: PokerStars
I just did the maths and you're right: to purely set-mine on the flop isn't profitable here. I'm calling $1.65 more to win $13.24 (my $2.65 + his $2.65 + his other $7.94), which means I would need to win 12.46% of the time to justify a call, but the probability of flopping a set or better is only 11.8%. So I guess I just have to put some QQ/AK combos in his range and try to play postflop and use position to my advantage, rather than pure set-mining.
2nd May 2016, 3:53 AM
That math assumes:
-you never lose with a set
-you always take his whole stack when you hit a set
-you lose no money when you don't make a set, bluff catching with 1 pair.
Obviously none of these are true. Set mining in 4-bet pots is a great way to lose tons of money. This is a standard fold to the 4-bet.
2nd May 2016, 4:19 AM
the lab man [3,527]
Poker at: All Over
Game: Any Game
re: Poker & $10 NLHE 6-max: Check flop, check turn, overbet shove river
Hey c9 good to see you back, what I am missing here?
2nd May 2016, 7:29 PM
Sneaky Feet 
Online Poker at: pokerstars
Game: Hold em
Call pre with 1010 in CO against UTG. As played fold pre to the 4bet.