re: Poker & live 1/3 NL hold em
This is my own theory based upon experience. In live, low-limit games, you win money by doubling up or busting people. Anything else makes you fall victim to the rake. You have a chance to play a big pot approx three times per hour. You flop a set, have the nut flush draw, hit your straight. Most of these times a big pot does not pan out. It takes two hands at least to make a big pot. Or you just miss. Approx once every other hour, you play a big pot. When you go card dead, when the draws go in the muck, AK misses 2 out of 3 times--when poker happens, your stack (and profits) slowly melt away until you hit your avg hourly rate.
You can play TAG and this is the usual result--three chances an hour and one big pot every other. You can play LAG and increase the chances of both, but your swings will be a lot bigger and, I believe based upon a lot of observation, the results will be fairly close to the same. - That's the theory. Have at it.