Doug Polk and Daniel Negreanu finally wrapped a lengthy heads-up poker challenge, so let’s take a look back at all the action from start to finish.
The poker pros played exactly 25,000 hands of $200/$400 heads-up no-limit hold’em on WSOP.com. They began the match in early November and concluded it this past Wednesday. In the end, Polk finished with a $1.2 million profit, right at 30 buy-ins.
The win was quite convincing and left little doubt as to who the better heads-up player is. Granted, nearly everyone expected Polk to coast to victory given his heads-up experience. But despite the seven-figure loss, Negreanu was actually more competitive than you may have anticipated.
Underdog Shines in Early Stages
Negreanu and Polk played all but one of 36 sessions online. The first match — 200 hands — took place Nov. 4 on PokerGo at the PokerGo Studio in Las Vegas. “DNegs” shined in the only live session, surprisingly winning more than $110,000.
Once the challenge moved to the internet, Polk took over, winning the next two sessions by a combined $385,000. But Negreanu would bounce back and dominate the following two weeks. He booked four wins over five sessions, totaling $447,000 and moved back into the lead.
At this point, Polk realized he was in for a tougher battle than he expected. But he had no reason to panic and still felt he had a big edge. Variance is a factor in the short-term in poker.
Starting on Day 9, in which he booked a $205,521 win, Polk would completely dominate the rest of the competition, save for a few rough outings. By Day 18, the Upswing Poker founder was up just a shade under $1 million as the midway point was fast approaching.
Negreanu had an opportunity at 12,500 hands to surrender without penalty. He considered doing so but opted to continue playing as he felt much of the deficit was due to bad luck.
For a while, it appeared Negreanu made the right decision to continue playing. He won seven of eight sessions, but most were for small amounts (two buy-ins for less). So, while he was able to chip off a nice chunk of Polk’s lead, he still trailed by more than $500,000.
Over the final 10 sessions, Polk won eight of them, including $298,984 on Day 30, $209,281 on Day 35, and $255,722 in the finale. In between, Negreanu won $390,032 on Day 31, the biggest score for either player.
Stats from the Challenge
Polk won 30 buy-ins ($1.2 million) over 25,000 hands. But Negreanu won 17 of the 36 sessions, which is a bit surprising considering the lopsided final score.
Upswing Poker, Polk’s training site, tracked every hand that resulted in a pot of $80,000 or more. Among those 192 pots, 68 were for over $100,000, and five had over $170,000 in the middle.
We tracked all 192 $80,000 pots from Polk vs Negreanu.
68 were $100,000+
11 were $150,000+
5 were $170,000+
— UpswingPoker (@UpswingPoker) February 5, 2021
Oddly enough, Negreanu won the three largest pots the challenge and seven of the nine largest. On Day 30, the session in which he actually lost nearly $300,000, he shipped a $187,198 pot with a straight against Polk’s failed bluff.
On a board of J-9-5-7, Negreanu, who checked back the flop in position, made a pot-sized bet ($3,598) and Polk check-raised to $20,675 and got a call. The 2 landed on the river and Polk continued his aggression, putting Negreanu all-in for $71,126.
“DNegs” snap-called with the stone cold nuts (10-8), while Polk showed down Q-8 for a failed bluff. On the very next hand, Polk took down a $60,000 pot to get a rebate on the previous hand.
After all was said and done, the long-time feuding pros gained respect for each other. Polk praised Negreanu for taking on such a difficult task, a complete 180 from his pre-challenge opinion.