F
feitr
Legend
Silver Level
The problem is that when Democrats are voting on poker, they know if they vote for it the Republican running against them in 2010 will use it against them. "they voted against saving our families and children from the evils of online gambling". We need to show them that those aren't the only people voting, that there are poker players who vote too and they are all watching.
This argument has almost 0 credibility imo. It is precisely those individuals who have gambling problems who will be the ones to circumvent this law. I don't think anybody can make a moral argument for this that isn't very superficial, as those who pathologically gamble will continue to pathologically gamble. It is those casual gamblers that will be hit hard by this. Unfortunately, since most of these arguments are based on emotional appeal, it probably doesn't matter to alot of the population whether or not the law actually does any "moral good". Even if it is clearly about the inability of the US to regulate online gambling (i presume, i haven't read much on it), nobody is actually going to out and state that.
And even if online poker doesn't die (esp. for non-americans as it isn't like the sites that do not allow americans are tough) this will definitely dry up the games to a much greater extent than did the original UIGEA, which apparantly was quite significant. All the donators now will be "non-american" and it will continue to the point that the only americans left playing will be very solid winning players. So traffic on sites like tilt/PS will be greatly decreased as a good portion of the really bad, and just a little bad, population will have to stop playing (i would be VERY interested to know the % of americans and non-americans on tilt/PS). And as all the american fish leave, non-american players will probably migrate to non-US sites that still have plenty of fish.
Not to mention this seems like a logistical nightmare, especially with the economy as it is now. Fortunately, this deals with all online gambling so there will also be significant opposition from sports bettors, online casino users, etc., which will increase the size and force of the US-based population that is against implementing this legislation.