F
franky
Rising Star
Silver Level
I tried to edit my last message, but the edit button wasn't there.
I just wanted to add one more thing before someone says it.
I'm aware that AA vs "random" is a 85% favorite on each flip taken.
So, if we flip 10 times in a row AA vs "random" and in those 10 times the "random" wins, it's hard to happen, but it can happen. Simply because the 85% probability of AA winning, relates to each flip taken and not the 10 flips as a whole.
And now that I come to think of it, I guess my answer to cAPSLOCK was not the best one, since I did put the 5 flips as a whole on the 85% winning probability, which is wrong. So, I guess this quote:
So, the one misreading my own 4 out of 5 was actually me and not cAPSLOCK.
So, in my case was something like 4 or 5 in a row lost, it's hard to happen, but it can happen
I just wanted to add one more thing before someone says it.
I'm aware that AA vs "random" is a 85% favorite on each flip taken.
So, if we flip 10 times in a row AA vs "random" and in those 10 times the "random" wins, it's hard to happen, but it can happen. Simply because the 85% probability of AA winning, relates to each flip taken and not the 10 flips as a whole.
And now that I come to think of it, I guess my answer to cAPSLOCK was not the best one, since I did put the 5 flips as a whole on the 85% winning probability, which is wrong. So, I guess this quote:
is spot on. Although the "absolute certainty" still puzzles me, because, to be honest, I don't expect to lose 4 flips out of 5 with Aces, or it would be a -EV situation playing Aces. We know it can happen tho.cAPSLOCK said:Everyone who plays poker can expect that with absolute certainty.
So, the one misreading my own 4 out of 5 was actually me and not cAPSLOCK.
So, in my case was something like 4 or 5 in a row lost, it's hard to happen, but it can happen
Last edited: