pocketehs
Legend
Silver Level
3k hands is a very small sample size, and losing over that number of hands could be normal variance, only way to know is to review your sessions and see if you can identify any bad play on your part. If it is mostly losing through coolers and bad-beats then there is nothing you can do but ride it out.
Check this out...
http://www.evplusplus.com/poker_tools/variance_simulator/
I found this variance simulator tool interesting, you can plug in different winrates, different number of hands and different standard deviations (default stDEV of 80bb/100 should be fine because I have read elsewhere that typical players stDEV is between 70 and 100bb/100), and run a number of trials to see how variance affects winning.
I ran 10 trials for 100K hands assuming a modest but decent 4bb/100 winrate and stDEV of 80 - one of the trials shows negative profit and two of the others show barely any profit. Basically shows that it isn't unlikely for winning players to breakeven or even lose over 100K hand stretches due to variance.
Micro, Im checking this out right now. So I would plug in my 8900k hands, 8.18 bb/100. What should I put at # of trials and stdev?