Super Bowl Betting Recap: Chiefs Win, Total Goes Under, Mahomes Kneel Downs Kill Prop Bettors

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The Kansas City Chiefs scored 21 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to beat the San Francisco 49ers 31-20 in the 2020 Super Bowl, delighting some poker bettors while causing others to suffer big losses.

Super Bowl betting Mahomes
The Kansas City Chiefs scored a 31-20 win over the San Francisco 49ers in the 2020 Super Bowl. (Image: David J. Phillip/AP)

The Chiefs covered as either a 1 or 1.5-point favorite at most sportsbooks, while the score came in under the total, which sat around 53.

Brunson, Hellmuth Back the Wrong Super Bowl Horse

Twitter was divided on which side to take headed into the game. Some of poker’s biggest names backed San Francisco, however, including both Phil Hellmuth and Doyle Brunson – meaning they took a loss on the night.

Prop bets have become a huge part of the Super Bowl gambling experience. From betting on the coin toss (as it turns out, tails never fails) to the color of Andy Reid’s celebratory Gatorade bath (orange), there were thousands of markets available from start to finish at sportsbooks across the country.

Many of these bets may seem silly, preposterous, or completely random, but as Max Steinberg pointed out, even serious bettors can find diamonds in the rough by giving the rules of prop bets a closer look.

Most of the prop bet action is concentrated on a few of the biggest star players. Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes was by far the most popular target this year, with two different wagers making noise during the game.

Mahomes rushed for the first touchdown of the game in the final seconds of the first quarter. That was money in the bank for many bettors, with Mahomes going off at 12/1 odds at William Hill to score the first touchdown of the night – the longest odds to pay off of any of the props to garner significant action.

Late Kneel Downs Cost Bettors

Bettors were killed by Mahomes late in the game, however. Another popular prop asked the number of yards Mahomes would rush for on the night. Totals generally closed in the low 30s, and with the quarterback having totaled 44 yards on the ground heading into Kansas City’s final drive, over bettors looked like they had locked in a payday.

With just under a minute remaining and the Chiefs looking to run out the clock, Mahomes took three knees. Even worse, because the 49ers had timeouts remaining, Mahomes had to run around a bit to completely kill the clock That led to a total loss of 15 yards, bringing him down to 29 – hitting the under for almost everyone.

William Hill reported that the Mahomes rushing yards bet had more money wagered on it than any other Super Bowl proposition market, with 68 percent of the money on the over – meaning bookmakers scored big after those late kneel downs.

“That was close to a six-figure swing [in the sportsbook’s favor],” Jeff Davis, director of trading for Caesars Sportsbook, told ESPN.

At least one operator used the unlikely turn to generate some publicity. PointsBet gave refunds on all over bets on the Mahomes rushing market.

“If there’s been a worse beat on a prop than this one, feel free to let us know,” the sportsbook wrote on Twitter.

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