putting myself in a predicament

[ph_il]

Full Tilt Poker Game #4094664694: $22 + $2 Sit & Go (Turbo) (31109403) Table 1 - 60/120 - No Limit Hold'em - 1:43:45 ET - 2007/11/07
Seat 1: hoyasnaxa (1 020)
Seat 2: Hero (2 675)
Seat 4: NY26 (1 360)
Seat 6: AJM1123 (1 875)
Seat 7: dubins (1 505)
Seat 8: DaFunk76 (3 845)
Seat 9: barbie010 (1 220)
AJM1123 posts the small blind of 60
dubins posts the big blind of 120
The button is in seat #4

Holecards:
Dealt to Hero [

]
DaFunk76 calls 120
barbie010 folds
hoyasnaxa folds
Hero calls 120
NY26 folds
AJM1123 calls 60
dubins checks

Flop:
[

]
AJM1123 checks
dubins has 15 seconds left to act
dubins checks
DaFunk76 checks
Hero bets 320
AJM1123 calls 320
[opponent can have a FD, SD, 10, or Q. I expect opponent to raise with Q unless he had a small kicker.]
dubins folds
DaFunk76 folds

Turn :
[

] [

]
AJM1123 checks
Hero bets 320
[I have a made hand. Now Im hoping my opponent is on a draw, Q, or will call a small bet with 2 pair 10s and Qs. Im also betting small enough to entice a reraise from a Q.]
AJM1123 calls 320

River:
[

] [

]
AJM1123 checks
[not a card I wanted to see.]
Hero has 15 seconds left to act...

 

[aliengenius]

Check, you just got counterfeited, take it down if he was on the straight/flush draw (he wont call if you bet anyway). There is zero value in betting here.

 

[NineLions]

Yuck. I'm used to seeing two pair counterfeited, but a set on the flop getting counterfeited? That's nasty.

 

[Cheetah]

An alternative might be a blocking bet of 320 to reduce the chance to get bluffed out of the pot by a busted draw.

 

[blankoblanco]

An alternative might be a blocking bet of 320 to reduce the chance to get bluffed out of the pot by a busted draw.

we're in position and he already checked to us, yo

i mean, there's a small chance he's got Axs and he'll call down a small bet with the A but that's so thin. i really only bring it up because it's the only instance where you could even hope to get a tiny amount of value by betting here. most likely he has a T or missed draw. and if he goes crazy and decides to check-raise his missed draw or some sort of air, you end up having to fold. jus' check 'er down.

 

[robwhufc]

Check, you just got counterfeited, take it down if he was on the straight/flush draw (he wont call if you bet anyway). There is zero value in betting here.

Yuck. I'm used to seeing two pair counterfeited, but a set on the flop getting counterfeited? That's nasty.

He's not been counterfeited. Counterfeited is where you've got a pair, but 2 pairs on board means your pair no longer counts as it's beaten by the board. He still has a Full House here, which beats the board.

Re OP, there's no predicament, you check to see if you are winning. You'll only realistically get called by Q or 10. Actually to save me typing more, what Combuboom said ^^^^^

 

[OzExorcist]

Gross.

Put another vote in the just check it camp - everyone else has said it, pretty much.

 

[tenbob]

Shove the turn, a Queen is calling you.

Check behind on the river, nasty.

 

[Fat Stu]

check, the only reason that he will call/raise is if he has a hand, otherwise he'll fold. No value in betting IMO.