how much of this was luck

M

magoo454

Guest
Joined
Apr 14, 2007
Total posts
7
Stacks: - magoo454 with 33230 - marine6182 with 23850 - blkvelvet63 with 7540

index.pl


index.pl

Blinds:
Site: full tilt poker
* - Dealt to magoo454:
2s.gif
2d.gif

* - Sklansky group 7
Preflop:
* - marine6182 raises to 4,800
* - blkvelvet63 calls [4,200]
* - magoo454 raises to 33,230, and is all in
* - marine6182 calls [19,050] [ all-in ]
* - blkvelvet63 calls [2,740] [ all-in ]
* - magoo454 shows :
2s.gif
2d.gif

* - marine6182 shows :
kh.gif
ah.gif

* - blkvelvet63 shows :
3d.gif
ad.gif

* - Uncalled bet of 9,380 returned to magoo454
* - Folds: 1
* - Potsize: 64620
Flop:
6d.gif
4d.gif
qh.gif

* - Potsize: 64620
Turn:
4c.gif

* - Potsize: 64620
River:
7s.gif

* - magoo454 shows two pair, Fours and Twos
* - marine6182 shows a pair of Fours
* - magoo454 wins the side pot (32,620) with two pair, Fours and Twos
* - blkvelvet63 shows a pair of Fours
* - magoo454 wins the main pot (22,620) with two pair, Fours and Twos
bad part is it was an accident I was trying to hurry because my daughter had hurt her lip :eek:
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M

magoo454

Guest
Joined
Apr 14, 2007
Total posts
7
Did not feel bad about cashing in first place.:cool:
 
ratmantoo

ratmantoo

Visionary
Joined
Sep 9, 2007
Total posts
695
LMFAO...not often that deuces stand. This should be WHAT THE HELL WERE YOU THINKING!!!!! but hey its poker....nice one
 
royalburrito24

royalburrito24

Legend
Joined
Aug 27, 2007
Total posts
2,417
actually not as lucky as you may think


your pair against both their overcards having eachothers outs isnt a bad beat
 
ratmantoo

ratmantoo

Visionary
Joined
Sep 9, 2007
Total posts
695
OK plugged this into Texas Calculatem.

Odd of having the best hand on the river
2s2d - 45%
AhKh - 52%
Ad3d - 42 %

wow closer than i would have thought
 
blankoblanco

blankoblanco

plays poker on hard mode
Joined
May 16, 2006
Total posts
6,129
holy crap, teach me to dodge 21 outs on the river. better yet, teach me to dodge 2 or 3
 
L

lottomode777

Guest
Joined
Oct 13, 2007
Total posts
101
If you can dodge a wrench, you can dodge 21 outs.
 
benevg

benevg

Legend
Joined
Jul 22, 2007
Total posts
1,267
holy crap, teach me to dodge 21 outs on the river. better yet, teach me to dodge 2 or 3

i can't quite teach you either of those, but how did you count 21 outs?
2 aces
3 kings (1 diamond)
3 queens (1 diamond)
3 sixes
the other 6 diamonds.

total of 17. what am i missing?


to the OP: congrats on winning :)
 
blankoblanco

blankoblanco

plays poker on hard mode
Joined
May 16, 2006
Total posts
6,129
you forgot the 3 threes. so maybe it's 20 outs, i may have miscounted a diamond
 
Tygran

Tygran

Cardschat Elite
Joined
Sep 4, 2007
Total posts
1,757
OK plugged this into Texas Calculatem.

Odd of having the best hand on the river
2s2d - 45%
AhKh - 52%
Ad3d - 42 %

wow closer than i would have thought


Woohoo! I can has a total probability of 139% now? :confused:
 
Tygran

Tygran

Cardschat Elite
Joined
Sep 4, 2007
Total posts
1,757
Correct preflop odds below:

22 - 38.6%
AK - 35.8%
A3 - 25.5%

Since the aces are screwing with each others outs... the deuces are actually the favorite!
 
beechleaf

beechleaf

Rock Star
Joined
Sep 29, 2007
Total posts
130
it was pure luck 22 is a limp or fold type hand for me your against two overs and if board pairs 2xs you are sunk or if he hits any overs you are still sunk
 
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