how much of this was luck

[magoo454]

Stacks: - magoo454 with 33230 - marine6182 with 23850 - blkvelvet63 with 7540

Blinds:
Site: full tilt poker
* - Dealt to magoo454:

* - Sklansky group 7
Preflop:
* - marine6182 raises to 4,800
* - blkvelvet63 calls [4,200]
* - magoo454 raises to 33,230, and is all in
* - marine6182 calls [19,050] [ all-in ]
* - blkvelvet63 calls [2,740] [ all-in ]
* - magoo454 shows :

* - marine6182 shows :

* - blkvelvet63 shows :

* - Uncalled bet of 9,380 returned to magoo454
* - Folds: 1
* - Potsize: 64620
Flop:

* - Potsize: 64620
Turn:

* - Potsize: 64620
River:

* - magoo454 shows two pair, Fours and Twos
* - marine6182 shows a pair of Fours
* - magoo454 wins the side pot (32,620) with two pair, Fours and Twos
* - blkvelvet63 shows a pair of Fours
* - magoo454 wins the main pot (22,620) with two pair, Fours and Twos
bad part is it was an accident I was trying to hurry because my daughter had hurt her lip
Poker Hand Converter By Cardschat.com Poker Forum

 

[MR X]

It was 100% luck.

 

[magoo454]

It was 100% luck.

you know whats funny this is actually the first time I felt bad about winning a hand.

 

[magoo454]

Did not feel bad about cashing in first place.

 

[ratmantoo]

LMFAO...not often that deuces stand. This should be WHAT THE HELL WERE YOU THINKING!!!!! but hey its poker....nice one

 

[royalburrito24]

actually not as lucky as you may think


your pair against both their overcards having eachothers outs isnt a bad beat

 

[ratmantoo]

OK plugged this into Texas Calculatem.

Odd of having the best hand on the river
2s2d - 45%
AhKh - 52%
Ad3d - 42 %

wow closer than i would have thought

 

[blankoblanco]

holy crap, teach me to dodge 21 outs on the river. better yet, teach me to dodge 2 or 3

 

[lottomode777]

If you can dodge a wrench, you can dodge 21 outs.

 

[pandaforce912]

If you can dodge a wrench, you can dodge 21 outs.

If you can dodge traffic you can dodge 21 outs. Is it weird I was watching this movie as I read this?

 

[benevg]

holy crap, teach me to dodge 21 outs on the river. better yet, teach me to dodge 2 or 3

i can't quite teach you either of those, but how did you count 21 outs?
2 aces
3 kings (1 diamond)
3 queens (1 diamond)
3 sixes
the other 6 diamonds.

total of 17. what am i missing?


to the OP: congrats on winning

 

[blankoblanco]

you forgot the 3 threes. so maybe it's 20 outs, i may have miscounted a diamond

 

[Tygran]

OK plugged this into Texas Calculatem.

Odd of having the best hand on the river
2s2d - 45%
AhKh - 52%
Ad3d - 42 %

wow closer than i would have thought

Woohoo! I can has a total probability of 139% now?

 

[Tygran]

Correct preflop odds below:

22 - 38.6%
AK - 35.8%
A3 - 25.5%

Since the aces are screwing with each others outs... the deuces are actually the favorite!

 

[beechleaf]

it was pure luck 22 is a limp or fold type hand for me your against two overs and if board pairs 2xs you are sunk or if he hits any overs you are still sunk

 

[CAPT. ZIGZAG]

If you can dodge a wrench, you can dodge 21 outs.

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