how much of this was luck

M

magoo454

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Stacks: - magoo454 with 33230 - marine6182 with 23850 - blkvelvet63 with 7540

index.pl


index.pl

Blinds:
Site: full tilt poker
* - Dealt to magoo454:
2s.gif
2d.gif

* - Sklansky group 7
Preflop:
* - marine6182 raises to 4,800
* - blkvelvet63 calls [4,200]
* - magoo454 raises to 33,230, and is all in
* - marine6182 calls [19,050] [ all-in ]
* - blkvelvet63 calls [2,740] [ all-in ]
* - magoo454 shows :
2s.gif
2d.gif

* - marine6182 shows :
kh.gif
ah.gif

* - blkvelvet63 shows :
3d.gif
ad.gif

* - Uncalled bet of 9,380 returned to magoo454
* - Folds: 1
* - Potsize: 64620
Flop:
6d.gif
4d.gif
qh.gif

* - Potsize: 64620
Turn:
4c.gif

* - Potsize: 64620
River:
7s.gif

* - magoo454 shows two pair, Fours and Twos
* - marine6182 shows a pair of Fours
* - magoo454 wins the side pot (32,620) with two pair, Fours and Twos
* - blkvelvet63 shows a pair of Fours
* - magoo454 wins the main pot (22,620) with two pair, Fours and Twos
bad part is it was an accident I was trying to hurry because my daughter had hurt her lip :eek:
Poker Hand Converter By Cardschat.com Poker Forum
 
ratmantoo

ratmantoo

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LMFAO...not often that deuces stand. This should be WHAT THE HELL WERE YOU THINKING!!!!! but hey its poker....nice one
 
royalburrito24

royalburrito24

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actually not as lucky as you may think


your pair against both their overcards having eachothers outs isnt a bad beat
 
ratmantoo

ratmantoo

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OK plugged this into Texas Calculatem.

Odd of having the best hand on the river
2s2d - 45%
AhKh - 52%
Ad3d - 42 %

wow closer than i would have thought
 
blankoblanco

blankoblanco

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holy crap, teach me to dodge 21 outs on the river. better yet, teach me to dodge 2 or 3
 
L

lottomode777

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If you can dodge a wrench, you can dodge 21 outs.
 
benevg

benevg

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holy crap, teach me to dodge 21 outs on the river. better yet, teach me to dodge 2 or 3

i can't quite teach you either of those, but how did you count 21 outs?
2 aces
3 kings (1 diamond)
3 queens (1 diamond)
3 sixes
the other 6 diamonds.

total of 17. what am i missing?


to the OP: congrats on winning :)
 
blankoblanco

blankoblanco

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you forgot the 3 threes. so maybe it's 20 outs, i may have miscounted a diamond
 
Tygran

Tygran

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OK plugged this into Texas Calculatem.

Odd of having the best hand on the river
2s2d - 45%
AhKh - 52%
Ad3d - 42 %

wow closer than i would have thought


Woohoo! I can has a total probability of 139% now? :confused:
 
Tygran

Tygran

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Correct preflop odds below:

22 - 38.6%
AK - 35.8%
A3 - 25.5%

Since the aces are screwing with each others outs... the deuces are actually the favorite!
 
beechleaf

beechleaf

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it was pure luck 22 is a limp or fold type hand for me your against two overs and if board pairs 2xs you are sunk or if he hits any overs you are still sunk
 
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