$Freeroll NLHE MTT: A5s, Gutshot + Nuts flush draw, Call?

konatus

konatus

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No Limit Holdem Tournament
pokerstars
8 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG Bl@ckRN (2,052) 10bb
UTG+1 Serg011956 (7,050) 35bb
MP1 V222 (5,407) 27bb
MP2 HERO (7,855) 39bb
CO fabmc08 (3,495) 17bb
BTN EATmUP (3,363) 17bb
SB sergey s99s9 (9,890) 49bb
BB WOR85 (6,110) 31bb

Blinds: 100/200

Pre-Flop: (300, 8 players) HERO is MP2 :ah4: :5h4:
3 folds, HERO raises to 500, 2 folds, sergey s99s9 calls 400, 1 fold

Flop: :qh4: :10s4: :jh4: (1,200, 2 players)
sergey s99s9 checks, HERO bets 800, sergey s99s9 goes all-in 9,390, HERO ???


What is your approach in this hand?
Do you like the raise with A5s pre flop?
Do you like the 800 bet on the flop?
Say me what do you think about this hand. thx
 
H

hffjd2000

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I dont like raising preflop here sir.
But I like your bet on the flop.
I would definitely call his all-in.
 
Arjonius

Arjonius

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I dont like raising preflop here sir.
But I like your bet on the flop.
I would definitely call his all-in.
Mind explaining why you think the way you do for all three of these? Doing so is likely to be a lot more helpful than what you wrote.
 
konatus

konatus

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I was thinking about this hand and I think he can play with hands in the following range:

JJ-99,K9s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,98s,KTo+,Q9o+,J9o+,T9o

Then A5hh on the flop Qh Ts Jh against that range is about 45% vs 55%

The expected value (EV) in this call is:

EV = (win Probability) * (new pot) - cost of bet

EV = (0,45)*(15910) - 6555

EV = 604,5

So I think this is not a very bad spot because the Tournament is a freeroll and I have a little +EV chips

Do you agree?
 
P

potrip

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guy preflopping 300 over the blind not a large preflop so he may have something i still would call just to see the flop. ok so flop comes out with a possible flush (not gonna actually happen for anyone needing it in a online poker tourney) so the large all in i would fold on. for me i fold most of my a #'s hands cause 90 % of the time someone either ends up with pocket A's or 74 off and pulls 2pair to my one pair and i lose yet again. but figuring the possible flush draw and possible high straight i would call and hope for another A to come out because in my mind getting either of the better aint gonna happen on any RNG havent found one thats all that random yet from pokerstars back in 2007 to bet online now nothing has changed but i love playing so i still tough it out.

fold aces
potrip
 
J

jj20002

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it´s a freeroll so just call, you are ahead of him no matter what hand he had, in the worst case he had AK (i don´t think because in freerolls this hole cards are shove) or 98, but still you are ahead with 13 cards giving you the nuts and 2 streets to go, and if he had something like one par then you have 16 cards and in the case he had a straight draw (king or nine) then you are way ahead,
 
horizon12

horizon12

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in Freeroll this hand fold in preflop , very marginal, u many times get 2-3 callers, and you will not have fold fold equity. ( If was not freeroll this good raise )
In flop this very big bet , enough 450, when villain shove this easy fold, we not have enough odds what play this hand on whole stack,,,,
 
konatus

konatus

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in Freeroll this hand fold in preflop , very marginal, u many times get 2-3 callers, and you will not have fold fold equity. ( If was not freeroll this good raise )
In flop this very big bet , enough 450, when villain shove this easy fold, we not have enough odds what play this hand on whole stack,,,,

Seems very safe, but I think that is very predictable too. I guess when the tournament field shrink the game remains with good players.

I am playing this hand pos flop when I hit two pairs or better. Against 2 - 3 callers I can evaluate the flop. A5s is good hand in this spot to disguise my play. IMO
 
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