spore
Rock Star
Silver Level
At first I think this will look like a bad play. I say that because, I put almost all my money in with a draw. However; my decision to go for the draw was purely results-oriented in that, it had to do with the prize structure.
As you can see there was a big stack with over 6k, and the other 3 of us right around 3k. This is a 10-player $3 turbo on Stars. So, it pays 3 places. Basically everybody was all-in on this hand except the big stack, who had about half his chips in. I ended up with all but 20 chips in. All but all-in.
Okay, here's the deal. 3rd-place gets $6, which is $2.60 over the buy-in. Don't remember what 2nd place gets, but 1st gets $15.
My thinking here was, the flush would almost assuredly win the pot, and I have an overcard. So, I have 11 outs. A bit less than 50% of the time I'm going to win this. And in this situation if I win, I am almost assured of a 1st-place win.
So, let's assume that if I don't win, I'm knocked out.. but if I do win I get 1st. Now that's not going to always be the case, I could get a huge chip-lead and lose it, or be crippled and come back to win.. but for analysis let's assume this.
If I lose I lose $3.40, if I win I'll profit $11.60. So break even is around 30% (someone check my math). If I win this situation 30% of the time I'll break even, more than that and I profit.
So, that was my thinking. Is that good logic? Maybe not, that's why I'm asking. Oh, and btw.. I don't know if I should have raised all-in on the flop or not. As it turned out, I ended up with a "chip and a prayer". But at least I didn't get knocked out. And the all-in raise would have been pointless.
I've had a rough run at the SnG's here lately, but have been profiting at the ring games. So I'm about breaking even. In my 3 SnG's yesterday.. I went from chip leader to out in 3rd place on two bad beats in a row, then this tourney, then 2nd hand in to my 3rd SnG, I pulled pocket Kings.. flopped top-set, raised all-in, and got called by a Ace-rag suited that hit the flush on the river.
So I think my play has been pretty good, but this is one that I wasn't quite sure what to do. But, I figured it would be profitable in the long-run.
Stacks: - HKImpact with 3055 - grafik369 with 6025 - MindSpore with 3130 - vitesse76 with 2790
Blinds: 100/200
Site: pokerstars
* - Dealt to MindSpore:
* - Sklansky group 7
Preflop:
* - vitesse76 raises 200 to 400 hkimpact calls [400]
* - grafik369 calls [300]
* - mindspore calls [200]
* - Potsize: 1600
Flop:
* - grafik369 bets [600]
* - mindspore calls [600]
* - vitesse76 raises 1765 to 2365 [ all-in ] hkimpact calls [2365]
* - grafik369 calls [1765]
* - mindspore calls [1765]
* - Potsize: 11060
Turn:
* - grafik369: checks
* - MindSpore: checks hkimpact bets [265] [ all-in ]
* - grafik369 calls [265]
* - mindspore calls [265]
* - Potsize: 11855
River:
* - grafik369 bets [200]
* - Folds: 1
Results:
* - grafik369 shows a pair of Tens:
* - HKImpact shows a pair of Queens:
HKImpact collected 795 from side pot
* - vitesse76 shows a pair of Queens - Ace kicker:
* - vitesse76 collected 11160 from main pot
Poker Hand Converter By Cardschat.com Poker Forum
As you can see there was a big stack with over 6k, and the other 3 of us right around 3k. This is a 10-player $3 turbo on Stars. So, it pays 3 places. Basically everybody was all-in on this hand except the big stack, who had about half his chips in. I ended up with all but 20 chips in. All but all-in.
Okay, here's the deal. 3rd-place gets $6, which is $2.60 over the buy-in. Don't remember what 2nd place gets, but 1st gets $15.
My thinking here was, the flush would almost assuredly win the pot, and I have an overcard. So, I have 11 outs. A bit less than 50% of the time I'm going to win this. And in this situation if I win, I am almost assured of a 1st-place win.
So, let's assume that if I don't win, I'm knocked out.. but if I do win I get 1st. Now that's not going to always be the case, I could get a huge chip-lead and lose it, or be crippled and come back to win.. but for analysis let's assume this.
If I lose I lose $3.40, if I win I'll profit $11.60. So break even is around 30% (someone check my math). If I win this situation 30% of the time I'll break even, more than that and I profit.
So, that was my thinking. Is that good logic? Maybe not, that's why I'm asking. Oh, and btw.. I don't know if I should have raised all-in on the flop or not. As it turned out, I ended up with a "chip and a prayer". But at least I didn't get knocked out. And the all-in raise would have been pointless.
I've had a rough run at the SnG's here lately, but have been profiting at the ring games. So I'm about breaking even. In my 3 SnG's yesterday.. I went from chip leader to out in 3rd place on two bad beats in a row, then this tourney, then 2nd hand in to my 3rd SnG, I pulled pocket Kings.. flopped top-set, raised all-in, and got called by a Ace-rag suited that hit the flush on the river.
So I think my play has been pretty good, but this is one that I wasn't quite sure what to do. But, I figured it would be profitable in the long-run.
Stacks: - HKImpact with 3055 - grafik369 with 6025 - MindSpore with 3130 - vitesse76 with 2790
Blinds: 100/200
Site: pokerstars
* - Dealt to MindSpore:
* - Sklansky group 7
Preflop:
* - vitesse76 raises 200 to 400 hkimpact calls [400]
* - grafik369 calls [300]
* - mindspore calls [200]
* - Potsize: 1600
Flop:
* - grafik369 bets [600]
* - mindspore calls [600]
* - vitesse76 raises 1765 to 2365 [ all-in ] hkimpact calls [2365]
* - grafik369 calls [1765]
* - mindspore calls [1765]
* - Potsize: 11060
Turn:
* - grafik369: checks
* - MindSpore: checks hkimpact bets [265] [ all-in ]
* - grafik369 calls [265]
* - mindspore calls [265]
* - Potsize: 11855
River:
* - grafik369 bets [200]
* - Folds: 1
Results:
* - grafik369 shows a pair of Tens:
* - HKImpact shows a pair of Queens:
* - vitesse76 shows a pair of Queens - Ace kicker:
* - vitesse76 collected 11160 from main pot
Poker Hand Converter By Cardschat.com Poker Forum