This is a discussion on Call or all in within the online poker forums, in the Tournament Hand Analysis section; This is a knockout tournament. I have 19 big blinds on the big blind, what was the best way to play preflop?
Hi! I'm just learning the right game myself and I don't understand a lot of things. But I decided to try to analyze your situation. I tried a mathematical approach. I'm wondering if I did the math right. I calculated using the formulas. Maybe someone more experienced can help me find the error. First, I calculated the equity.
RE = AC / (AC + TP)
AC (Amount to call) ,
TP (Total pot after bet) ,
RE (Required equity) .
RE= 2,5/(2,5+7,5)=0,25, 25%
I didn't quite figure out how to calculate the odds of my hand. So I calculated it in a simplified online poker calculator. But the entire range of cards was involved. We got 22.2 % against three opponents with any cards. This is less than 25%, so you need to fold. Although intuitively I tend to call.
I would not be jamming this any time with any stack size because it will be just too often that we will not get everyone to fold. The lower the stack we have the more sense it makes to jam but then the less fold equity we will have and usually face multiple callers and be behind almost always. The question here is to call or to fold. The smaller the stack we have the more we should fold since our implied odds are less and the deeper we are the more we should call and see if we can nail the flop. In my opinion, 19 BBs is deep enough here to call this and see the flop when we are closing the action and getting over 6 to 1 on our money with suited connectors. This hand could flop very well and change our stack dramatically. You have to be careful when you flop something that you dont overvalue it and we might get sucked into a hand doing this but I think calling off another 1.5 BBs here is not a bad play with this much already in the pot, a hand that can flop well, and closing the action.
Its never a jam, because in this configuration you just never get all off them to fold, and you are basically always behind to whoever call you. Its pretty close between calling and folding. If its near the bubble or a payjump, I prefer to fold. If its far from the money, I probably call with intention to check-jam the flop, if I flop some kind of draw. Folding cant ever be that bad though.
I think a call is the right play here, with all the money in pot already, you are priced in, Don t even think of going all in there with 5 6 suited, not strong enough and specially in a bounty tourny, people call all ins lighter in those.