99 vs small paired board

[ph_il]

PokerStars Game #15535348915: Tournament #77444951, $0.25+$0.00 Hold'em No Limit - Level XVII (2500/5000) - 2008/02/25 - 01:38:26 (ET)
Table '77444951 406' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: TRM_SHRiMP (85175 in chips)
Seat 2: ratcitysid (71471 in chips)
Seat 3: romeo4u (118742 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 4: djlang (53371 in chips)
Seat 5: deathell (44022 in chips)
Seat 6: LordObuma (191344 in chips)
Seat 7: Goudycl (198645 in chips)
Seat 9: helmet32 (113928 in chips)
TRM_SHRiMP: posts the ante 500
ratcitysid: posts the ante 500
romeo4u: posts the ante 500
djlang: posts the ante 500
deathell: posts the ante 500
LordObuma: posts the ante 500
Goudycl: posts the ante 500
helmet32: posts the ante 500
romeo4u: posts small blind 2500
djlang: posts big blind 5000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to TRM_SHRiMP [9c 9s]
deathell: folds
romeo4u has returned
LordObuma: calls 5000
Goudycl: folds
helmet32: folds
TRM_SHRiMP: raises 15000 to 20000
ratcitysid: calls 20000
romeo4u: calls 17500
djlang: folds
LordObuma: calls 15000
[A lot of callers, but no one is really showing a lot of strength PF. I believe I may have the best hand.]
*** FLOP *** [2c 3s 2d]
[I like this flop. Not a whole lot to be worried except 33, 22, or a pair over mine. I really dont see anyone with any of the the possible straight combinations calling PF.]
romeo4u: checks
LordObuma: bets 25000
[Hmmm...small bet. Looks like a feeler bet. Opponent could be on any type of straight draw as they were getting good odds to call PF with their big stack. Do I really fear a lone 2 in this situation?]
TRM_SHRiMP: ??? Do I fold or shove. Im def. not just calling here.

 

[jaymfc]

I wouldn't be worried about a two but I would worry about an over pair.
gut feeling call , fold or shove but I think I might fold , very easy for him to have two over cards and know you missed and has the stack to force you out though . I like to be a little more sure for my tourney life. jmo

 

[Jillychemung]

Have you seen the opponent slow play AA or KK? If not then I shove here. No way the opponent has limped w/ a 2 and no way you can put opponent on just 22. This is standard play from a big stack to bet out on what looks like a missed flop and I'd narrow his range to JQ+, 77-TT.

 

[c9h13no3]

Reads on flop betting villain? His stack is pretty sizable, so he could be making this play with AJish hands or a lower pair.

And I agree, this is certainly a shove or fold situation. I like shoving this. The only problem with it is that we don't have a whole lot of fold equity, so its going to be hard to get hands like TT to fold to our shove. But for low buyin tourneys where simply making the money doesn't cut it, I like getting our money in here.

 

[Bentheman87]

Shove. He could easily have 44-99. JJ you should be worried about but not enough to stop you from shoving. QQ-AA would have probably reraised preflop.

 

[khand]

Yeah definitely all-in babay, cause at this MICRO-level opponents generally aren't sophisticated enough to slowplay extremely high pairs preflop, so you have to put him on two unpaired overcards or something and one hand you have to fear is A 2 suited, pretty much the only hand he could be in there with thats ahead :)))), but if you are feeling the tournament situation generates such a move, then definitely AW in.