$5 NLHE MTT Rebuy: Is this a good shove?

[Smee707]

This was with 14 left in a 17.5k guarantee, feel like I shouldn't have done this because I was confident on the table I was playing but with 14bb I needed to pick up some chips. Do you think it's a positive player, obviously unlucky he had AA.
http://www.boomplayer.com/en/poker-hands/Boom/4958937_231FCF5764

 

[Poker Orifice]

You actually have 16bb's.
It'd depend on how likely you figure btn is to r/f on 20bb's while raising into monster CL (in BB), how often BB has been 3betting & playing back at BTN, etc.
I'd probably fold but I think it's close (but depends on player reads mentioned above imo) & it's hard for me to say because I have no clue as to how anyone on the table's been playing so I don't know how often I'm finding spots to gii (&/or if there's some really weak spots, etc. ie. I was on a table today where player in SB was giving me walks BvB ALOT & player in BB when I was SB BvB was folding ALOT so I didn't find I needed to take any/many high variance spots because of this)

 

[floridapoker]

Its not a bad shove, and it sucks you got sleeping beautied guy wakes up with a hand. That being said I dont think you should have shoved here. I probably would have folded and looked for a spot with a little more fold equity; try to take down a good 15-20% of your stack uncontested preflop.

 

[Smee707]

Cheers guys, stupidly I only went and did the same thing on the final table of the bigger 4
pokerstars Hand #104510027626: Tournament #823011347, $4.00+$0.40 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XLVII (30000/60000) - 2013/09/23 4:01:25 ET
Table '823011347 35' 9-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: dansafc (8879908 in chips)
Seat 2: 5betfoldem (2774156 in chips)
Seat 3: oz4s_ (3378292 in chips)
Seat 4: riopan (4121968 in chips)
Seat 5: Bernardo CA (763967 in chips)
Seat 6: mr.Frix (1050363 in chips)
Seat 7: Smee707 (1503360 in chips)
Seat 8: bobmac44 (2028986 in chips)
dansafc: posts the ante 7500
5betfoldem: posts the ante 7500
oz4s_: posts the ante 7500
riopan: posts the ante 7500
Bernardo CA: posts the ante 7500
mr.Frix: posts the ante 7500
Smee707: posts the ante 7500
bobmac44: posts the ante 7500
Smee707: posts small blind 30000
bobmac44: posts big blind 60000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Smee707 [Td Ad]
dansafc: folds
5betfoldem: folds
oz4s_: folds
riopan: folds
Bernardo CA: folds
mr.Frix: raises 73200 to 133200
Smee707: raises 1362660 to 1495860 and is all-in
bobmac44: raises 525626 to 2021486 and is all-in
mr.Frix: folds
Uncalled bet (525626) returned to bobmac44
*** FLOP *** [7c 7h 5d]
*** TURN *** [7c 7h 5d] [2d]
*** RIVER *** [7c 7h 5d 2d] [5c]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Smee707: shows [Td Ad] (two pair, Sevens and Fives)
bobmac44: shows [Kh Kc] (two pair, Kings and Sevens)
bobmac44 collected 3184920 from pot
Smee707 finished the tournament in 8th place and received $392.01.
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 3184920 | Rake 0
Board [7c 7h 5d 2d 5c]
Seat 1: dansafc folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: 5betfoldem folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: oz4s_ folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: riopan folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Bernardo CA folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: mr.Frix (button) folded before Flop
Seat 7: Smee707 (small blind) showed [Td Ad] and lost with two pair, Sevens and Fives
Seat 8: bobmac44 (big blind) showed [Kh Kc] and won (3184920) with two pair, Kings and Sevens


This one was so stupid though, I have over 20bb and the table was so soft I really didn't need to do this.

 

[vinylspiros]

No, im not liking the shove at all. especially when its blind versus blind and in situations like this , ANY ACE will usually call. I do like a flat though. and then check call if you hit good to allow him to hang himself.

It depends on board texture though.


All in all, i dont like this shove with the big stack behind you with this hand.

 

[Poker Orifice]

No, im not liking the shove at all. especially when its blind versus blind and in situations like this , ANY ACE will usually call.

Might want to read the HH over again.... he's 3-bet jamming over a BTN (20bb stack) raise. (doubt any Ace is going to 'call' with BTN yet to act)

 

[vinylspiros]

Might want to read the HH over again.... he's 3-bet jamming over a BTN (20bb stack) raise. (doubt any Ace is going to 'call' with BTN yet to act)

Yea i know. It the button i said would probably call with any ace on blind vrs blind or button vrs blind dynamics. I wasnt talking about this unlucky situation where bb wakes up with a beast.

 

[vinylspiros]

Po u are looking at the hand in the boomplayer right?

 

[AviCKter]

Man, I would suggest you to be very careful this late, esp the final table. Even a 2X raise screams big hand. Now, the first one was a clear fold irrespective of the result.

And the second one, was a call and fold, if re-raised. With 20Bb left, I'm not gambling at all. If it was folded around, you could have raised but not shoved.

Btw, you might want to check your hand history and see all the hands in the final table with you on the SB, I'm sure it has a lot of info regarding your play.