This is a discussion on $5.50 NLHE MTT: $5.50$ NLHE MTT: Good play with KK? within the online poker forums, in the Tournament Hand Analysis section; https://mygame.mypartypokerlive.com/share/replayer?id=6091ae6c359c023a9542bf32 |
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$5.50 NLHE MTT: $5.50$ NLHE MTT: Good play with KK? |
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$5.50 NLHE MTT: $5.50$ NLHE MTT: Good play with KK?
https://mygame.mypartypokerlive.com/share/replayer?id=6091ae6c359c023a9542bf32
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$0.25 NLHE MTT: $$0.25 NLHE MTT: $$0.25 NLHE MTT: Is this play too questionable | 9 | May 11th, 2021 2:59 AM | Tournament Hand Analysis |
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Your 3bet sizing pre is too small - everyone here is pretty deep (80ish bb effective) and your 3bet sizing should be somewhere between 3x-3.3x in position like this putting you around 11,500 on the bigger side of sizing -- so you are losing value when you do not size properly - get called, cbet and take it down - which is going to happen quite often.
Anyhow, post flop I loved your sizing choice of about 30% pot on the flop. You have all the top pr combos locked up and for villan to have the last K in the deck is pretty unlikely so its hard for villan to continue when we bet large - so again, I love this sizing. Then all of a sudden the hand goes off rails...I don't understand why we jam all in for 1.5x pot here when we have all the Kx in this hand locked up...what do we expect to get value from when we do this? Just a move that makes no sense in this hand and is over the top foolish. Are you scared of villan having a flush draw? Why push out the draw? It's an unmade hand that will still likely pay you for a decently sized bet, but we push out villans draws when we bet this large. Just makes no sense, don't fear the reaper in spots like this, you are losing tons of value by doing such a thing. If you were to check turn - make your flop cbet look like a failed attempt - then we get to call river bets from our villan and when checked to, then we can overbet jam 1.5x pot to make our hand look like a bluff - missed spades, missed straight draw, etc. If you dont care about playing well and making max value then shoving turn here will protect your top set against whatever draw you are scared of...but if you want to extract the most from your villan here and also keep worse hands in the pot - a bet of 50-60% pot will do just that and still allow you to shove all safe River cards - and for me that's anything that is NOT a spade or an A. Hope this is helpful.
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#3
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I agree with everything, Jon Poker wrote:
Preflop Make the 3-bet larger Flop Perfect sizing, allow him to continue with hands like AQ, QQ, QJs, JTs, TT etc. Turn Size up now but dont overbet jam. Stacks are to deep to make this a 2-street hand. Also you have position, so no need of beeing scared to play the river. If the river card is one of the worst in the deck like 9s, and he donk jam it in your face, its fine to fold. And if he check to you, you can check back.
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re: Poker & $5.50 NLHE MTT: $5.50$ NLHE MTT: Good play with KK?
When villain raises over a limper here their hand imo is usually stronger than if they would have just opened themselves. I treat is as almost a quasi 3 bet even though it really isnt but the reason I bring this up is that if I think villains hand is stronger than a normal open here I can 3 bet to a larger sizing knowing I am getting called more often than a typical opener would here. I think you can go as large as 14k here on the raise but I generally would probably put it in the 11-12k range here. Again I would not go that big over a typical opener but since I think I am getting called here more we can go for more value and bet larger.
As played on the flop I disagree with others about the sizing and would go bigger here, just not all that much bigger. The four reasons are one, there is a spade draw out there so we are getting called my two spades liberally and also getting called by hands with A of spades so we can bigger here and get value. Second is this is the best street we have to get value and villain will naturally be more likely to fold later streets so we should try to get some more value now while we can. Third is that if villain does have QQ, 1010, or 99 they might only call one street and then fold on the turn depending on the turn card so again we need to get a little more value while we can. If villain has nothing here then they are calling a small bet anyway. Fourth is our hand looks stronger betting like this than a lager bet would look. To me right now we are begging for a call a bit when we bet this small. I think I would be betting about 10.5k here on this flop. It will be a 3 street hand either way but again, lets try for value while we are most likely to get it. The turn is a terrible move. Unless they villain really has something they are never calling here and if they really have something then we can just get it with a bet here and a bet on the river. Turn is perfect for a 15-16k bet (doesnt even have to be that big to setup a river shove). Jamming the turn in conjunction with betting small on the flop really lets the villain off easy here. They rarely have top pair due to our blockers and nothing outside of a set or straight is calling that bet. If they had a set on the flop you would already know about it so you would need the miracle of villain having 88 or 109 for this to work. Even then betting small is better and getting it on river.
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re: Poker & $5.50 NLHE MTT: $5.50$ NLHE MTT: Good play with KK?
AQ is a gutshot on this board. The hand has 4 outs, which on the turn is less than 10% equity. This mean, that if he call any bet larger than roughly 10% of the pot, he is making a mathematical mistake. Yet you bet 200% to make sure, he did not call. Just pause for a moment and think about, how extremely illogical that is. We win money in poker, when our opponents make mistakes, yet you are literally trying to force him to play well, because you dont want to get drawn out on. This is a common theme for poker players, but its a huge leak and something, you seriously need to work on.
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re: Poker & $5.50 NLHE MTT: $5.50$ NLHE MTT: Good play with KK?
This is nowhere NEAR GTO - and just because villan could have a flush draw or AQ, doesn't mean they always have a draw...plus draws are unmade hands!! You want them to call you! That's how we make money. If you want to make all the chips you can, then jamming turn with top set for almost 2x pot is NOT the way to do it. Since you have all the Kings - what do you think your villan is going to call you with when you do this?? The answer is almost nothing. So we are losing money by jamming the turn here. So what if villan hits their draw once in a while? Thats poker! Its one hand, who cares! We want villans to call with their draws since they will miss them more often than they will hit them. You can't be affraid villan will always have/hit a draw - when we make moves like this we push all of our villans weaker hands out of the pot and we don't make anymore $$. Will you lose money playing like this in the long run...YES!! Because you won't make enough chips playing your strongest hands like this, and in the end you will lose value and make less. I'd rather make 100bb from my villan if I can, rather than setting for 25bb and then overbearing and pushing them out of the pot.
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$0.25 NLHE MTT: $$0.25 NLHE MTT: $$0.25 NLHE MTT: Is this play too questionable | 9 | May 11th, 2021 2:59 AM | Tournament Hand Analysis |