Around 50 minutes into the 5,5$ "Voyage" on 888 Poker. A slow format tournament starting with 250BB stacks, so we are all still deep at this point. The opponent was playing VPIP 56 / PFR 20 / 3-bet 17 over a sample of 25 hands. How do we proceed after getting limp reraised with TT?
888Poker, $5 + $0.50 - Hold'em No Limit - 50/100 (12 ante) - 9 players
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UTG: 8,557 (86 bb)
UTG+1: 12,321 (123 bb)
MP: 9,995 (100 bb)
MP+1: 8,927 (89 bb)
LP: 9,988 (100 bb)
CO (Hero): 9,884 (99 bb)
BU: 6,086 (61 bb)
SB: 10,134 (101 bb)
BB: 7,876 (79 bb)
Pre-Flop: (258) Hero is CO with T♣ T♦
2 players fold, MP calls 100, MP+1 calls 100, 1 fold, Hero raises to 658, 3 players fold, MP 3-bets to 1,416, 1 fold, Hero?
Thank you for posting
Have you played a hand vs this V or shown down a 3 bet pot hand so far?
Have you seen a good play by this V?
You both have 100bb how does this V have that stack playing that many hands?
Has this V folded to a 4 bet?
How maniac was this player post flop? Do they slow down on the turn? Do they show down hands that should have been bluffs?
Has the rest of your table let this V control them?
Have we seen indications of nonstandard OOP play before?
This sizing is either a pot builder bet or an ISO raise or bad play.
How passive is the table?
How frequent are 4 bets in this player pool?
Does this V think they can blow out the 3rd player for the min and you call most of your range?
Have you seen any non standard sizing in other 3 bet pots by V?
You chose a 6.5x sizing how might this V see that sizing? Is that a standard table 3 bet sizing?
Do you know what countries your V are in? Do they know what country you are in?
Style of players matter and countries have different styles and view other players that way.
At these stack depths set mining is fine so no folding here.
You may have a skill advantage and POS so I would lean towards call because of the unpredictable play of the V without the above data.
The HUD stats you shared may not indicate the ability of the V if the table is passive and does not balance their ranges.
Depending on the data from the above questions this V could have a range that includes
equity mining and do this to ISO your AA-88 etc preflop with the intent of calling your 4 bet to see what happens post flop.
If they are expecting a premium hand from you and want to play hands with high equity vs AA they may know it is better to play head-up than 3 way so they min raise call your 4 bet assuming implied
odds and the ability to get AA to fold using the board runout.
This V if LAG skilled will know you can fold to bluffs at this stack depth.
As a default I would have set mined the TT vs this player as it was just as likely that we would go 3 way as this V has shown they do call often.
The problem with a raised pot 3 way is board coverage - low boards and high boards may be dangerous for us and we will have difficulty knowing. Our LAG V does not fold giving the 3rd V great odds to call a lot of their range on each street. TT infrequently improves and equity realization is difficult with a loose agg player 3 ways.
Set mine to save your stack to take out the sheep before you take on the were-rabbit that may be a wolf.
Hope this helps
