$5.5 NLHE MTT Bounty: AQs 16BB vs UTG: call, raise or fold?

r_iiiichard

r_iiiichard

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SB: 21.44 BB (VPIP: 26.09, PFR: 17.58, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, hands: 94)
BB: 38.51 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
UTG: 13.26 BB (VPIP: 18.69, PFR: 10.68, 3Bet Preflop: 5.13, Hands: 108)
Hero (CO): 16.49 BB
BTN: 28.96 BB (VPIP: 25.33, PFR: 16.22, 3Bet Preflop: 10.34, Hands: 79)

5 players post ante of 0.12 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.09 BB) Hero has Q A

UTG raises to 13.14 BB and is all-in

Hero raises to 16.37 BB and is all-in, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (28.38 BB, 2 players) J 2 5

Turn: (28.38 BB, 2 players) 9

River: (28.38 BB, 2 players) 3

UTG shows 5 5 (Three of a Kind, Fives)
(Pre 51%, Flop 97%, Turn 100%)
Hero shows Q A (High Card, Ace)
(Pre 49%, Flop 3%, Turn 0%)
Hero wins 3.22 BB
UTG wins 28.38 BB
 
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cgcook38

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I’d want to know a bit more. If it’s only 5-handed, are you close to a bubble? If so, I might consider laying this down. The player is seemingly tight, but also approaching desperate. So calling I would be mostly ahead or flipping, so it’s probably a call where I have a good chance at nearly doubling up.

However, I don’t know that I want to risk most of my chips w AQs here if we’re near the bubble or on the bubble.

What is the bounty worth? This does seem like a good spot to snipe one of those. We’re flipping w JJ and below and in great shape against a lot of paint combos.
 
Matt Vaughan

Matt Vaughan

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I agree that we need to know if this is a final table or near bubble but not much would stop me from putting the money in here. We'd have to be only like 2-3 spots from the money for me to consider folding.

If it was a final table, I'd be calling bc from an ICM perspective there's no one at table substantially shorter than us, and we're not gonna find a lot of better spots than this. We perform very very well against any reasonable jamming range here.
 
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pauloandre100

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I think it would pay 88+ and AQ+
 
r_iiiichard

r_iiiichard

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True, I forgot to mention it. There were 18 players left, this move left me in 16th place. On the bounties I do not really remember.
 
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