$330 NLHE MTT Deep Stacked: call or fold

[kanselau]

hey have been having trouble with this one for quite some time need to resolve this .
9 handed blinds are 2000/4000 ante 400
16 players left 1st paying 7700
the blinds are huge chip leader on table has around 140k average is about 60k
no history on villain ( utg+2 ) just joined the table two hands ago, first hand utg he jams, second hand jams again with 44000
hero bb 90k
villain 44k
so villain jams again utg+2 bb call or fold 66 ?

 

[Jillychemung]

Mental coin flip for me. We've got about 7 more orbits (considering usual level lengths) left but villain has about 3 left. On one hand 3 straight shoves appears really aggro but his stack size really mandates being aggro. I couldn't fault you for calling here.

 

[BigThingWithHolesInIt]

I think a call here is +$ev, but it may depend on the payout structure.

 

[Karkus77]

if it was the first hand i might fold here, but the fact the guy has shoved the previous 2 hands means he is less likely to have a overpair, you would have 10 bigs left if you called and lost, so its not the end of the world, gotta win flips to win tournies as they say

 

[ManicLombax]

I'd certainly rather be shoving the 66 than calling with it, but as others have said, pretty sure calling here is +ev. Say the guy is shoving even just 50% of his hands, you've got 55% equity. If he's shoving 80% you have 60% equity. With the blinds and antes so big compared to the stacks, I'm pretty happy to flip here, and there's a non-negligible chance that you're further ahead. If he happens to flip over 10's this time, then that's just really bad luck.

 

[pat3392]

Calling is +cEV, however you haven't provided enough information to determine whether calling's opportunity cost is too high. Namely, the actual pay-out structure, how much utility you gain from the different winnings and most importantly, your skill level in regards to your opponents. I suppose this is a live tournament? Because if that is the case it is somewhat close, assuming you're a half decent player.