https://www.cardschat.com/replayer/4qJemOB
This is a hand I played the other day in a small field MTT after LR and I am still kind of confused about all streets of it> any suggestions?
Thank U 4 Posting.
There are free range analyzers that would help you here.
Watching one action at a time.
You raise that is fine if the table is passive. Note that the SB and BB had 20+ bb stacks they could shove- so if they would shove often we cannot open A7s here.
We are raised by LP 2.98X-Is this common sizing for your player pool?
Does this mean anything that it was not 3600?
What range of hands would V do this with? Inputting that range into a range analyzer really helps you understand this spot well.
In simple terms without a range analyzer we want to think about if we are dominated here or if we dominate our V.
AK-AJ might 3 bet but would A7-A2?
Is the flush draw enough extra equity that we can call if it is head-up?
We call- flop terrible for us.
Why would we do anything but check -fold? Again a range analyzer great tool here.
How easy will it be to represent 3x or 22 to get our V to fold over pairs?
Check -Check
What does your player pool check- fold in spots like this? What card do you want to see on the turn so you can bluff it?
How many streets will you have to bet as a bluff to get V's range to fold?
What sizing works best for 1 street or 2 streets of
bluffing?
Turn card
We lead small so that means we are betting most rivers as bluffs if our V-illains are capable of folding. Are they?
What sizing will we use on the river?
River
Our river bluff gives our V 5-1 odds.
Do your V fold any pairs in that spot for those odds?
What about AK-AJ for 5-1 do you get folds in your player pool?
Do any of your V's have any skill that they might bluff you here by shoving?
So V folds- so they do have folds in their ranges when they check flops they should always be betting. We should note this about this player and our player pool if others are doing the same.
They may also not be calling on rivers often enough- so under sized bluffs- more often become very effective here.
You saying your are confused concerns me with your river bet sizing. If we do not know why our V will fold for 5-1 odds we should never be giving them 5-1.
We should be betting larger on the river maybe even a shove to fold out sticky hands like AsKs that check flop for some reason.
We need to know when we lead river if we are bluffing and if so what
range are we trying to get to fold. The fact that you are confused about this hand means you do not know why your V folded. Therefore, you should not have been using the small bet size. It was by accident that you got a fold not by plan.
Do not get me wrong if your V's over fold to bets that they think might be the nuts trying to get paid- like a 5-1 bet on a 4 straight board- than this was a great play by you. It just should be part of our plan all along if we are going to do this. So there should be no confusion here- your question should be about frequency of use of this bet sizing on similar board runouts versus standard players.
For example would 4-1 or 3-1
pot odds on the river bluff be more +ev versus the field if they do not overfold?
Hope this helps