$3.50 NLHE STT: 95o bvb bubble

[FastandFurious]

poker stars No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t100.00/t200.00 Blinds - 4 players - View hand 1400322
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: t3209.00 16.05 BBs - VPIP: 15, PFR: 8, 3B: 6, AF: 1.8, hands: 196
SB: t638.00 3.19 BBs - VPIP: 15, PFR: 5, 3B: 6, AF: 2.5, Hands: 123
Hero (BB): t1103.00 5.51 BBs - VPIP: 16, PFR: 13, 3B: 4, AF: 3.3, Hands: 53154
CO: t8550.00 42.75 BBs - VPIP: 12, PFR: 9, 3B: 3, AF: 4.9, Hands: 6833

Pre Flop: (t300) Hero is BB with 9 :spade: 5 :heart:
2 folds, SB raises to t613, Hero calls t413

unknown SB filtered: 7.0/15/5
Steal%=10

Wiz says it becomes a +EV call if villain shoves 41% (22+, Ax+, Kx+, Q9o+, Q5s+, JTo, J8s+, T9s)

So question would be if he shoves wide enough? Who knows he'll limp top range and weaker hands preflop...

 

[naruto_miu]

Ok, I'm not understanding, why are we flatting OOP with 95o? Just wondering...Also If I'm not Mistaken, He's basically A.I correct? So Why are we flatting once again?

 

[FastandFurious]

Ok, I'm not understanding, why are we flatting OOP with 95o? Just wondering...Also If I'm not Mistaken, He's basically A.I correct? So Why are we flatting once again?

Yes, He is my direct opponent and goes AI.. I called the shove. the question once again is if he shoves here at least 41% on average considering his tight (steal) stats cuz if yes then this call is +EV..

 

[WiZZiM]

We're calling here as we're getting healthy odds, over 2:1. We can call extremely wide as the dead money in the pot makes up for the times when we are behind (a lot of times). And we're rarely more than a 2:1 underdog in these situations.

I'm finding the 41% range suspect, you sure you have it set on $ev?

I think we can take a negative edge here as we're in a terrible chip position. Also, even though this guy is tight, he is super shortstacked, and i find that even the tightest of players know they need to make a move, so i'd think a 50-60% range here is around about right for the majority of villians.

So i have wiz up right now and it's saying the breakeven point is 70% which seems about right. So i highly doubt this is a good call, it's unsuited, unconnected and really doesn't play well against any range whatsoever.

However, Wiz still cannot account for things such as table positioning. We have to shove right into the huge stack whos on our left. That isn't good.

The big stacks will likely shove into the tight smaller stack on our right, but we're basicallly accepting a folding war, which isn't good.

This is really close, if we thought villian was going to fold to us a lot then i might consider making a fold. So overall i think i'm calling (i dont think we have many good options here), but honestly, how did we get into this situation in the first place, that would be my main question here.