This is a discussion on $3.30 NLHE MTT: Should I ever be folding premiums to jams? within the online poker forums, in the Tournament Hand Analysis section; This is a situation I find myself in a lot. I'm I'm pretty deep into a tournament, have a decent sized stack, and someone shoves
$3.30 NLHE MTT: Should I ever be folding premiums to jams?
This is a situation I find myself in a lot. I'm I'm pretty deep into a tournament, have a decent sized stack, and someone shoves into me. In this case he had ~ 24/15 VPIP/PFR, so I knew he wasn't a complete nit. But even then, it's just so hard to lay down hands like this.
So my question is, are there times when you lay down hands like 99-QQ or AK/AQ from jams? Does it come down to realizing that best case scenario I'm flipping and being patient enough to find a better spot? I'm not sure. I don't want to be results oriented and start folding these hands just because I've been losing with a lot of them lately, but I do want to look at these spots and see if there's something I can do differently moving forward.
For 40 bb's with this action I don't think I am calling anything less than QQ. Most people at these stakes are probably doing this with JJ+ and AK, sometimes maybe 1010 or AQ. I don't think we are doing well enough against that range to make this call profitably with less than QQ. He doesn't have lunatic stats that would lead you to believe he is doing this light.
Good question as I am seeing this frequently at those stakes too. Sometimes they have A rag and with small sample size the stats can take too much prominence. With a decent stack waiting seems like it can’t be wrong most of the time. If I see AQ or 99 I take a note.