$27.5 NLHE MTT: Big $27 squeeze spot

duggs

duggs

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pokerstars - $25+$2.50|125/250 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: http://www.pokertracker.com

LP: 6,537.00
CO: 6,956.00
BTN: 2,177.00
SB: 3,014.00
Hero (BB): 11,353.00
UTG: 6,238.00
UTG+1: 5,980.00
MP: 5,830.00
MP+1: 8,145.00

LP posts ante 30.00, CO posts ante 30.00, BTN posts ante 30.00, SB posts ante 30.00, Hero posts ante 30.00, UTG posts ante 30.00, UTG+1 posts ante 30.00, MP posts ante 30.00, MP+1 posts ante 30.00, SB posts SB 125.00, Hero posts BB 250.00

Pre Flop: (645.00) Hero has 7h 7c

fold, UTG+1 raises to 750.00, MP calls 750.00, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero ???

neither players are nits, do we have any fold equity with these stack sizes?
 
dwbrown7680

dwbrown7680

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$1900 is too small I think. There is about $2100 in the pot atm I'd r/r this to $2800-3350 and then obv call a shove.
 
duggs

duggs

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what kind of ranges are you assigning unknowns in these spots?
 
dwbrown7680

dwbrown7680

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A8s+, KJo+, Q10s+, J10s, 33+ from initial raiser

The other guy prolly around the same along with some mid suited connectors. I think I'm changing my mind here and going closer to what baudib said, $1900-$2k and then you can re-eval if they come over the top.
 
duggs

duggs

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yea pretty similiar range for the initial raiser to what i got, however I thought the flatters range would be somewhat capped and look more like
A5-AJ K10-KQo 78s-JQ, 22-TT, maybe a few combos of JJ and AQ but i dont really think so. without having info on him i dont think he is good enough to set up a squeeze automatically.
with a 3x open from a 23bb stack and a flat from a 23bb stack.

thoughts on shoving? the sizing you both suggested looks super strong, but if they are droolers and flat there are virtually no flops without a 7 we love and will still be getting it in anyway. Shoving here puts both in a shitty spot as the initial raiser may fold hands that have good equity against us and will likely only continue with a thin value range, and we are happy to get it in vs flatters capped range. thoughts?

thanks for your input
 
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