$22 NLHE MTT: 6max PKO! Should I resove 88 here?

L

Larmuar

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The simple question: is this a shove or a fold?

Already ITM of the 6max PKO, my bounty is quite big, utg has ok, but not big bounty.

888 Poker - 5000/10000 Ante 1250 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players

CO: 32.69 BB (VPIP: 24.70, PFR: 16.52, 3Bet Preflop: 5.76, hands: 340)
BTN: 61.01 BB (VPIP: 20.94, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 1.30, Hands: 193)
Hero (SB): 16.7 BB
BB: 102.95 BB (VPIP: 19.53, PFR: 12.74, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 170)
UTG: 10.79 BB (VPIP: 17.86, PFR: 12.96, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 59)

5 players post ante of 0.13 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.13 BB) Hero has 8 8

UTG raises to 10.66 BB and is all-in, fold, BTN calls 10.66 BB, Hero ?

raises to 16.58 BB and is all-in
, fold, BTN calls 5.92 BB

Flop: (45.45 BB, 3 players) A J 6

Turn: (45.45 BB, 3 players) A

River: (45.45 BB, 3 players) 2

BTN shows T T (Two Pair, Aces and Tens)

Main Pot [33.61 BB]: (Pre 45%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
Side Pot#1 [11.84 BB]: (Pre 80%, Flop 87%, Turn 79%)

Hero shows 8 8 (Two Pair, Aces and Eights)

Main Pot [33.61 BB]: (Pre 19%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
Side Pot#1 [11.84 BB]: (Pre 20%, Flop 13%, Turn 21%)

UTG shows A Q (Three of a Kind, Aces)

Main Pot [33.61 BB]: (Pre 36%, Flop 82%, Turn 90%)

UTG wins 33.61 BB
BTN wins 11.84 BB
 
S

saulgood4me

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Without immediate icm implications, it's likely a shove.
 
R

RocwX

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Your stack isn't big enough to get the original caller to fold, so you'll be facing two hands. In that scenario, you have around 78% of chance of seeing at least one overcard in the flop and simultaneously not hitting your set. Against two players, the chances of one of them hitting a higher pair than yours are too big. I would fold.
 
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