$200 NLHE MTT: No choice but to call?

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SaltedPotato

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Middle stage of day 1 tourney with 10% BB ante


Hero in UTG raises 2.2BB with KsJs with 28BB effective


Folds to BB (35% VPIP with 88 hands) who defends and completes.


POT: 5.7BB


FLOP: 7c8c9s


Hero checks
BB checks


TURN : 10s


Hero bets 2.9BB
BB tanks and puts me all in


I know most of the time it’s a call because I am the second nuts with a redraw to the straight flush.


Is there any circumstance where you would fold ?





 
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ssbn743

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Middle stage of day 1 tourney with 10% BB ante


Hero in UTG raises 2.2BB with KsJs with 28BB effective


Folds to BB (35% VPIP with 88 hands) who defends and completes.


POT: 5.7BB


FLOP: 7c8c9s


Hero checks
BB checks


TURN : 10s


Hero bets 2.9BB
BB tanks and puts me all in


I know most of the time it’s a call because I am the second nuts with a redraw to the straight flush.


Is there any circumstance where you would fold ?

Well , I mean if he showed me QJ I'd fold but otherwise, nope. That said, this isn't a very good spot for us - FYI.

I am actually wondering why we didn't bet flop? That would have helped us a great deal here.

However, as played, this is going to be a crying call - there's just no way fold - but it's not extremely +EV. It is on the positive side, but, it's not great.

The math:
Assume villain range (JJ-66,QJs,JcTc,Jc9c,Jc8c,Jc7c,Jc6c,QJo,J6o+)
This gives us 61% raw equity.

If we nit his range down a bit to: (JJ-77,QJs,JcTc,Jc9c,Jc8c,Jc7c,QJo,J8o+)
56% equity

BTW - it was somewhat difficult to ascertain some pretty key details from your post. I'm going off a 28BB eff stack (yours), an ante of .1, an open of 2.2 and one call plus the SB, a turn bet of 2.9, and a jam when you have 22.8 behind and the pot is 11.5...???

Guess this hand was played at donk central.

However, if I figured it out correctly, here's the math with breakeven equity at 40%:
 

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Pablo22

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I think you have to call there
 
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