$2.20 NLHE Turbo: More +EV through folding here?

[pat3392]

$2.20 NL HE Turbo: More +EV through folding here?

I'm starting to think that perhaps these calls are not the most +EV move. My line of thinking is I'm calling to be most likely a 60/40 favorite and occasionally worse when villian has a better A, when I could instead fold it and push/steal the blinds; I will gain a fair amount through simply folding + when I do get called I'm never that fair behind. Opinions?

poker stars $2.00+$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t800/t1600 Blinds + t150 - 8 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

MP1: t19520 M = 5.42
MP2: t14965 M = 4.16
CO: t17700 M = 4.92
BTN: t35227 M = 9.79
SB: t16357 M = 4.54
Hero (BB): t12005 M = 3.33
UTG: t14110 M = 3.92
UTG+1: t9340 M = 2.59

Pre Flop: (t3600) Hero is BB with A:spade: T:club:
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t3200, 5 folds, Hero raises to t11855 all in, UTG+1 calls t5990 all in

Flop: (t20380) 8:spade: 5:spade: 9:spade: (2 players - 2 are all in)

Turn: (t20380) 8:heart: (2 players - 2 are all in)

River: (t20380) 5:diamond: (2 players - 2 are all in)

 

[rounder22]

With everyone being short compared to the blinds I would say your ahead of most players preflop range unless they have a better ace or high pocket pair but more likely you could be up against hands like kq or ace rag here. Also if you wait and push later your more likely to be behind then ahead and your in a worst spot to push because they know you need to make a move being so short so there more likely to call.

 

[cjatud2012]

I'm very much opposed to 3-betting this, our short-stacked opponent raised from early position, so his range is super strong, and we can assume we have little fold equity. Just fold this and shove your next SB or BTN.

 

[bgomez89]

I'm folding here too. I mean villain is short stacked so what the hell is he doing min raising a third of his stack instead of pushing especially from utg? Unless this guy is a spewtard I'd say he has a good hand

 

[rounder22]

I didn't realize the guy was utg+1 in my previous post so yea folding would be better.