£150 NLHE MTT Deep Stacked: Should I float the turn with combo draw?

[quant1986]

Mid stage live MTT, close to bubble

BTN: 25BB, tight
SB (Hero) : 30BB. TAG image
BB: <20BB

All folded to BTN who raised to 2.5BB, SB called with 5♣5♦, BB folded

Flop: (7BB, 2 players)
3♣4♣4♦


SB checked. BTN bet 2.5BB, SB called.

Turn: (12.5BB, 2 players)
6♣


SB went all in. BTN called.

Normally I would 3-bet preflop against wide BTN open but this player is tight so I decided to call. If his stack is smaller I would have folded preflop.

I expect villain would c-bet 33% pot on the flop with all overcards,overpairs and flush draws on this board.

Turn is an interesting card and I have villain covered so decided to float.
I may do the same with any made flushes, or 77-TT with a club and 33.

This should be a tricky spot to villain without a good made hand and I don't mind
villain folding out good pair without a club or hands with good equity like AcQx.

Even if villain continues to call with overpairs without a spade,
my hand still got 35% equity.

What do you think ?

 

[hugh blair]

Brave semi bluff when opponent indicated strength win some lose some.

 

[Alucard]

you should be folding there I believe
So many things against you

Set mining is not profitable in that spot with those stack sizes, playing OOP & close to the bubble
The V can put a lot of pressure

Maybe we can jam instead if V has loose opens

 

[liuouhgkres]

Terrible play. It should have been 3-bet all-in preflop. You are not deep enough to set mine and even tight players usually open at east 40% from button.

Now this board didn't hit your calling range, because your calling range mainly consists of good suited connecters. This flop actually hits villain's range more, since he can have a lot of 4s. Flop check-call is good, but turn push is ridiculous. Villain has so many cards to bluff with, you are just denying him that chance and your hand is too good to turn into bluff anyway.

 

[quant1986]

Yes I think I should either fold (close to bubble) or jam if I believe BTN still opens 40%+.

BTN got Tc9c and he would have folded if I shoved clearly.