$.11 NLHE MTT: You're always shoving here, right?

[tzuriel]

This is just a bad beat, I think. I mean I got my money in as a 78% favorite and lost. This is the final 6 in a very low stakes tournament. I was chip leader and wake up with AA. When the UTG min raises, I shove. I guess I just want validation that shoving was the right thing even with ICM as a factor. 78% of the time, AA wins here, right? Not trying to be results-oriented. I am pretty sure I made the right play.


Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem $0.11+$0.01 (90000.00BB)
UTG ($1528277)
HJ ($1349378)
CO ($2458436)
BTN ($854227)
SB ($734640)
HERO ($1205042)

Dealt to Hero: A♣ A♥

UTG Raises To $189000, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Folds, HERO Raises To $1205042 (allin), UTG Calls $1016042

Flop ($2491084): 2♥ 5♦ Q♠

Turn ($2491084): 2♥ 5♦ Q♠ 4♦

River ($2491084): 2♥ 5♦ Q♠ 4♦ K♦

Spoiler

UTG shows: J♦ T♦

UTG wins: $2491084

 

[Psyanide14]

Yes shoving is right play there. You got unlucky but not as bad as me just now. Just posted mine in bad beat section. Similar to you I shoved with AA and got called by AK. Three heart flop and I have Ah. Turn and river come KK no heart. The only way I could lose after flop. odds calculator had my at 99.9% after flop. Very discouraging but I tell myself I played it right. I believe you did too. Got your money in as big favourite but AA will lose about 20% of time based on preflop heads up. Keep getting it in good and hope they hold next time.

 

[tzuriel]

Yours was worse, unfortunately. But as you said, AA will lose 20% of the time. Thanks for responding and confirming my decision. Over the long run, we want JTs to call our shoves with AA!

 

[Psyanide14]

Just looking again you said you were chip leader but looks to me that you are 4/6 which makes your shove even more validated.

 

[KRANKES]

If you don't shove this hand, what else would you shove? Right play, wrong outcome

 

[tzuriel]

Just looking again you said you were chip leader but looks to me that you are 4/6 which makes your shove even more validated.

Oh my bad! Yes. You are correct again!

 

[Cinhos_2000]

Yes shoving is right play there. You got unlucky but not as bad as me just now. Just posted mine in bad beat section. Similar to you I shoved with AA and got called by AK. Three heart flop and I have Ah. Turn and river come KK no heart. The only way I could lose after flop. Odds calculator had my at 99.9% after flop. Very discouraging but I tell myself I played it right. I believe you did too. Got your money in as big favourite but AA will lose about 20% of time based on preflop heads up. Keep getting it in good and hope they hold next time.

That"s almost unbelievable, only saw it happening once, where a guy needed runner runner 9's and got it, but at least he had 3 cards on the deck I guess. Anyway, I hope this tournament wan't that important and kudos to you for managing it so well, with that mindset you're more likely to make money. Just lost 100BB pot for a bounty w AA vs KQ and I lost on the river. Wish you luck.

 

[fundiver199]

You only had 13BB, and with a stack this short you can actually slowplay AA and KK in the big blind. That allow the opponent to catch up by flopping a pair, or maybe they choose to bluff, and then you can check-jam the flop and get it in. But that being said, if he is calling a 13BB rejam preflop with JTs, then rejamming is certainly fine as well. The reason to not rejam would be, if you just get a lot of folds, because then your cards almost dont even matter. As played you got the perfect result but just not the perfect runout. As you know already, thats poker