$1 NLHE MTT: Can I shove 64s vs a villain with 78% steal in this spot?

[MasterOfDisaster]

Beyond carddead so I had to pick spots. If this is a right one ????
The guy opened like a madman, but nobody played back at him. No 3bet fold stats ,but a very high steal %.

***** Hand History for Game 1111111111 ***** (Party)
Tourney Hand NL Texas Hold'em - Saturday, October 06, 05:17:36 ET 2012
Table OFC 500 Cash Added Buyin (2771105) Table 3 (real money)
Seat 1 is the button
Seat 9: Player9 ( 49898 ) - VPIP: 26, PFR: 18, 3B: 7, AF: 1.5, hands: 38
Seat 10: Player10 ( 15926 ) - VPIP: 27, PFR: 25, 3B: 9, AF: 5.5, Hands: 96
Seat 2: Player2 ( 9530 ) - VPIP: 11, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 9
Seat 1: Player1 ( 10440 ) - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 9
Seat 3: Hero ( 3114 ) - VPIP: 18, PFR: 13, 3B: 5, AF: 2.7, Hands: 2636
Seat 4: Player4 ( 10925 ) - VPIP: 12, PFR: 7, 3B: 7, AF: 1.0, Hands: 41
Seat 5: Player5 ( 7093 ) - VPIP: 13, PFR: 11, 3B: 8, AF: 5.0, Hands: 116
Seat 6: Player6 ( 10680 ) - VPIP: 13, PFR: 9, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 32
Player2 posts small blind [150].
Hero posts big blind [300].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ 6s 4s ]
Player9 posts ante of [30].
Player10 posts ante of [30].
Player2 posts ante of [30].
Player1 posts ante of [30].
Hero posts ante of [30].
Player4 posts ante of [30].
Player5 posts ante of [30].
Player6 posts ante of [30].
Player4 folds
Player5 folds
Player6 folds
Player9 folds
Player10 raises [600]
Player1 folds
Player2 folds
Hero raises ?

 

[baudib1]

No.

1. you have way better hands to resteal with
2. given stack sizes he'll spite call with JT/A2 type stuff a lot and we don't have enough equity vs. those types of hands.

 

[Arjonius]

If we make the simplifying assumption that you're always behind when called, he has to fold fairly often for shoving to be +EV. So IMO it comes down to whether you're willing to make what's probably a -EV push rather than let your stack shrink even smaller.

 

[CrossedLine]

I don't think so. Wait for a better hand; if its working, let him get condifdence then take his stack.

 

[MasterOfDisaster]

Thanks, I know it is a bad spot to do. Probably just a mental thing this happened.


It just was one of these days, where I couldn't get a hand or find a good (re)steal spot. I felt powerless all day.