$1.10 NLHE MTT Deep Stacked: Standart Shove With A9o ?

[ergingo]

With the antes theres around 1920 in the middle which is around 1/4 of my stack, so if i get everyone to fold i increase my stack significantly.

Big blind is running 32/18 so i thought he might call with a lot of worse hands like KQ, QJ, even some worse aces, and i'm also willing to take a coin flip against 22-88. Problem is there are four other players before the BB which increase the chance of someone having a hand that dominates my A9 hand.

Is this a standart shove, or should i wait for a better spot?

( Sorry for the badly converted hand, my hand is A9 off )


Merge No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 400/800 Blinds (9 handed) - Merge Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG+1 (t4930)
MP1 (t6950)
Hero (MP2) (t7486)
MP3 (t15341)
CO (t6960)
Button (t15062)
SB (t13470)
BB (t13581)
UTG (t18431)

Hero's M: 6.24

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 9<font color='black'>♠</font>, A<font color='red'>♥</font>
3 folds, Hero bets t7326, 4 folds, BB calls t6526

 

[doomasiggy]

less than 10bb deep i'm cool with shoving here. depends on table dynamics though.

 

[youregoodmate]

Definitely shove here.

 

[duggs]

+1 to shove

 

[Arjonius]

How has the table been playing? While I don't have any real issues with shoving, it's more attractive to do so at a table where the probability of stealing successfully is higher.

 

[ergingo]

Thanks for the replies everyone. I posted this hand because whenever i shove (if i'm short stacked obv) with a weak ace from early or mid position i usually end up getting called by a big pair or a better ace. In this case the BB called and he had AJ and i lost.

How has the table been playing? While I don't have any real issues with shoving, it's more attractive to do so at a table where the probability of stealing successfully is higher.

The table consisted of some loose and weak tight players with lots of limp folding even if they had small stacks. A couple of hands earlier i had shoved with Q7s from the button and successfuly stole the blinds, so i thought i could do the same with A9 but my position was much worse obviously.

 

[youregoodmate]

Its best to play aggressively and keep stealing, heres an easy way to look at it.

If you shove 10BB with A9 - against a calling range you probably have 35% equity. That means you have 35% of a roughly 23BB pot. Equity is around 8BB.

If you shove 5BB with say an extreme example AA - against a calling range you are usually 85%. You have 85% equity of a roughly 13BB pot. Equity is around 10-11BB.

Now consider that you probably wont get AA (or any premium) before you run from 10BB to 5BB (which reduces your equity from 85% to around 65% or lower) and add in your fold equity from shoving A9 and the first hand becomes far more profitable than playing tight.

 

[XXPXXP]

it is always +EV is 10bb with A9 here!
but may adjust by table dynamic etc.