$1.10 NLHE MTT: Dealt A8h BB - interesting flop

[momfight]

Hi Guys-

I'm an average stack, just been moved to a new table in this micro limit MTT. I call with A8h in the BB, here's the hand analysis up to that point

PokerStars Hand #77057947601: Tournament #564010211, $1.00+$0.10 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level VII (125/250) - 2012/03/12 7:50:45 ET Table '564010211 91' 9-max Seat #5 is the button Seat 1: pygope (23490 in chips) Seat 2: endjoy78 (15401 in chips) Seat 3: Danish Pal (6450 in chips) Seat 4: GOLCRACK99 (13151 in chips) Seat 5: 5en5e (4200 in chips) is sitting out Seat 6: tincfama (15389 in chips) Seat 7: momfight (12334 in chips) Seat 8: ceJI9I (5550 in chips) Seat 9: svanlith (7148 in chips)
pygope: posts the ante 25
endjoy78: posts the ante 25
Danish Pal: posts the ante 25
GOLCRACK99: posts the ante 25
5en5e: posts the ante 25
tincfama: posts the ante 25
momfight: posts the ante 25
ceJI9I: posts the ante 25
svanlith: posts the ante 25
tincfama: posts small blind 125
momfight: posts big blind 250
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to momfight [Ah 8h]
ceJI9I: folds
svanlith: folds
pygope: calls 250
endjoy78: calls 250
Danish Pal: folds
GOLCRACK99: folds
5en5e: folds
tincfama: calls 125
momfight: checks
*** FLOP *** [4h 6h 7s]
tincfama: checks
momfight: bets 750
pygope: calls 750
endjoy78: raises 2250 to 3000

We have 3 limpers, I make a stab at the flop of 750 and get 1 call while Cutoff raises to 12 BB on the flop He limped in so i'm pretty sure he doesn't have a big pocket pair like Aces, Kings or Queens. Its pretty obvious here that he either has a straight or he flops a set.

I figure if I can make my flush or gutshot I most probably have him beat unless he has 5 8 which is unlikely as he's he seems pretty tight.

For me its a shove or fold situation.

If I shove the pot will be around 24K. So i'm getting around 12K of fold equity. (especially as i'm on the bb and can play junk like 5 8 )

I have 13 outs to make either a straight or a flush so i'm in a coin flip situation with an equity of 12K making a total equity of 24K for a bet of 12K.

I guess my EV must be + for a shove. 24 x 0.5 = 12k against 12 x 0.5 = 6k

What would you do? (are these figures correct)?

Thanks!

 

[baudib1]

supersnap/fist-pump put all the money in the middle.

 

[BlueNowhere]

supersnap/fist-pump put all the money in the middle.

This.

 

[OMGITSOVER9K]

supersnap/fist-pump put all the money in the middle.

mm, so this.

 

[BigThingWithHolesInIt]

Yup, this is a dream shove spot. Good chance he'll call, but you're a coinflip at worst to double up + dead money + image upgrade... push every time here.

 

[ManicLombax]

As others said, combo-draw with overs, fist pump shove.

Also, I think in a $1 tourney, you can get raised on this flop with much worse than a set or a flopped straight. You're probably behind, but spiking an ace or an 8 can also be good a lot of the time.

 

[Karkus77]

as everyone has said, get all the money in ASAP at the $1 level, he could have J7 (coz as we all know at $1 top pair is the nuts) you could even be ahead of this spot and you just have so many outs plus theres a bit of dead money in the pot, fist pump shoveth

 

[MasterOfDisaster]

Hi Guys-

I call with A8h in the BB

Thanks!

You don't call but check the BB.

As everyone said get it in!

ur welcome