$1.10 NL HE MTT: Scholars 6-max

mariussica88

mariussica88

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Not many hands on the players but here is what I have on them:

MP after 19 hands: VPIP 32 PFR 5 Limp 23
BU after 15 hands: VPIP 47 PFR 27 Limp 20

Do you think that I can call here?

pokerstars, $0.98 + $0.12 - Hold'em No Limit - 125/250 (30 ante) - 6 players


UTG: 12,253 (49 bb)
MP: 1,471 (6 bb)
CO: 6,768 (27 bb)
BU: 2,175 (9 bb)
SB (Hero): 4,022 (16 bb)
BB: 8,973 (36 bb)

Pre-Flop: (555) Hero is SB with 6 6
1 fold, MP raises to 1,441 (all-in), 1 fold, BTN 3-bets to 2,145 (all-in), SB (Hero) folds, 1 fold
 
Andyreas

Andyreas

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Always a tough decision with those smallish pocket pairs.

While it would be a nice double up, you risk more than 50% of your stack, if you lose.

BN seems very loose but MPs stats are not totally off. Although he raised not very often.

It also depends to some extend on the BB stats. If he decides to get in the pot as well, it wil dramatically decrease your chances.

So I would also lean to a fold here. 🤔

What did they show?
 
dallam

dallam

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Without statistics I'm folding here even from BB as well if two are in especially with these stack seizes. These smaller pockets are good for stealing the blinds or card protection, not face to face already 2 putting their tournament life on the table, having 35% and more than half of our stack.
I get that its uncomfortable to have two monster stacks on our left, but I'm leaning on put a great small stack game here moving on, and let go these kind of situations with this hand. In 1v1 its ok to have sixes as an all-in hand but make sure as much you can to be 1v1 or feel free to put a raise into a 3-bet all-in if it's valid to do.
 
StealTheButton

StealTheButton

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I too am folding as you are committing about 56% of your stack, and don't forget the BB is still to act. Even if MP and button don't have any pocket pairs, they could have all live cards, for example KJ and AQ, not a great situation to be in. I'd rather wait for a better position where I can apply pressure to somebody else, rather than just call off a large portion of my stack.
 
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fundiver199

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I plugged this into ICMizer making the assumption, that the starting stack was 3.000 chips meaning that half the field has busted at this point. Here are the ranges, the program came up with:

MP: 34% of hands - 22+, A2+, K8+, QT+, JT, K3s+, Q7s+, J8s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, 76s
BTN: 19% of hands - 33+, A7+, KJ+, A3s+, K9s+, QTs+
SB (Hero): 11% of hands - 44+, AT+, A9s, KJs+, QJs

When analysing preflop push-fold spots we always want to consider, if the NASH ranges for the opponents are realistic. MP has been passive, but he is also very short, and maybe he is tilted after losing most of his chips. So putting him on anything remotely decent seem fair enough. BTN has been loose and aggressive, and he is short as well, so putting him on a range of 19% of hands seem fair as well. So Hero could make a slightly profitable overjam here, but 66 is near the bottom of Heros range, so folding is not a big mistake.
 
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