I'm just having a really hard time finding bluffs here on the river from our villans raise....I think when he does this at BEST we are chopping with like JT, AJ, all the Jx combos who may call a raise preflop.., all the other times we are beat with QJ staring us in the face. I certainly would have went for the check/call on the river. I don't raise the river without the nuts very often so I would not raise here either.
Anyhow, the logic behind the check call here is simple...when we value bet we are only going to get called by our villans made hands, however if we check - we leave all of our villans bluffs in along with their made hands and missed flush draws and straight draws (like KQ or AQ, etc) should be bluffing because they have no showdown value - so in a nutshell on a super wet board where we have been called on two streets its likely our opponent could have connected but its also pretty likely they could have missed some obvious draws - by checking with the intent to call here we leave their bluffs in and get value from that part of their range as well as value from their made hands - while when we lead river for value we push out their bluffs and only get called by made hands
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