$0.55 NLHE MTT Turbo: The villain goes all in the money bubble, can I pay?

Mmurilove

Mmurilove

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Good night, guys! Today I came across a very close spot, and I would like to hear your opinion. I will put my hand and below my doubts and comments.


Winning Poker, Hold'em No Limit - $3,000/$6,000 ($600 ante) - 5 players
Replay this hand on Upswing Poker

Mmurilove (UTG): $142,689.00 (24 bb)
srki1967 (CO): $282,584.00 (47 bb)
ABigPair (BU): $111,559.00 (19 bb)
Duffman410 (SB): $104,950.00 (17 bb)
OwaldusMaximus (BB): $76,234.00 (13 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($12,000) Hero (Mmurilove) is UTG with K K
Mmurilove (UTG) raises to $12,000, 1 fold, ABigPair (BU) calls $12,000, 2 players fold

Flop: ($36,000) A T Q (2 players)
Mmurilove (UTG) checks, ABigPair (BU) bets $24,000, Mmurilove (UTG) calls $24,000

Turn: ($84,000) 7 (2 players)
Mmurilove (UTG) checks, ABigPair (BU) bets $74,959 (all-in), Mmurilove (UTG) folds

Total pot: $84,000 (Rake: $0)
ABigPair (BU) wins $84,000
About the villain: I have only 200 hands of him, but he is very tight (10/9 - VPIP/PFR) and aggressive postflop (60% aggressive flop and 100% turn).

As I thought the hand:
I chose to go check/call flop for having gutshot and back door flush draw, plus a good pair in hand. On the turn, despite the possibilities that opened up, I opted for the fold for believing he would not all in the bubble for bluffing, and he might be winning from me even with any Ax.

My doubts:
Did I do it right on the flop? Or should I have checked or been given a check/raise?
On the turn should I have paid due to great equity? Or did I do well not to risk the tournament in this spot?
 
T

tmfnsanders

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I normally lead flop, c/c turn here. Give him an opportunity to spaz it in with 9s
As played on the flop, I'm still calling turn because we have unnderrepped KK in a 55 center and people play bad.
 
Flight777sem

Flight777sem

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It’s not a bluff most of the time, considering stack sizes and bubble. You made it good fold there, I wouldn’t call it either.
 
SirYivx

SirYivx

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On such a wet board, I don't mind a c-bet on the flop in the 35-45% of pot range to try and get smaller pocket pairs to fold. A check is fine too, though, with the A on board it is annoying, but check folding seems like the right play when playing KK against on a tight player on an A high board. You do have a gutshot, but once he bets 70% of pot on the flop, I think it is is a clear fold. You can save those 4 BB for a better spot.
 
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brettlums

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its very possible that you just got bluffed on such a wet board but he also could have connected with any ace or connected hearts, with a big ace he would be re raising you preflop. If you 3x-5x with your kings instead of min raising he would be inclined to fold more of his weak aces and weak connected cards. also by checking the flop that tells him you likely don't have an ace and are scared of him hitting his flush. i would put a c-bet out on this flop also to find out where i am. If you're going to call the 24k bet why not put it in first to rep the ace/flush draw and make him pay to draw out his flush. also it is less likely he has a draw due to you holding the King of hearts
 
SuzdalDEcor

SuzdalDEcor

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It’s not a bluff most of the time, considering stack sizes and bubble. You made it good fold there, I wouldn’t call it either.


YeeeeeS. It`s not a bluff. It is value bet with JhQx, or JhTx. xDDD Or may be opponent is very bad
 
xOneCoolHandx

xOneCoolHandx

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its very possible that you just got bluffed on such a wet board but he also could have connected with any ace or connected hearts, with a big ace he would be re raising you preflop. If you 3x-5x with your kings instead of min raising he would be inclined to fold more of his weak aces and weak connected cards. also by checking the flop that tells him you likely don't have an ace and are scared of him hitting his flush. i would put a c-bet out on this flop also to find out where i am. If you're going to call the 24k bet why not put it in first to rep the ace/flush draw and make him pay to draw out his flush. also it is less likely he has a draw due to you holding the King of hearts


That was exactly what I was thinking, in this spot considering the bubble, I would have opened for a pot sized bet...that makes most weak aces and connectors shrink up depending on what your table image is. I also C bet here to see where I am at or where he may believe I am at.
 
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skeptix

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I don't mind the way you played this. I'm not always checking the flop, a mix of bets and checks is ideal. As played, I definitely fold the turn.
 
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zuker

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you have initiative on flop. Cbet to know where we are. If raised you are beaten.
 
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mara2259

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At a five-man table with 2BB open-pocket kings, the villain can enter the game with virtually any two cards. After the flop, in addition to the AA pair, there was the threat of a ready straight and a flush draw. Nevertheless, you throw 24,000 more into the pot. After the third chirva on the turn, your chances with a pair of kings are even more negligible.
 
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