vskots150
Enthusiast
Silver Level
What do you think of this draw? What is my mistake in this distribution? Should I check with a flush on the river or should I fold to push? https://www.cardschat.com/replayer/924wyqHNv
What do you think of this draw? What is my mistake in this distribution? Should I check with a flush on the river or should I fold to push? https://www.cardschat.com/replayer/924wyqHNv
This is yet another example of being results oriented...you would not even be posting this hand had you won the pot!
The call preflop is fine - we just need to realize our K is marginal, so if/when we flop top pair we need to be cautious about it. When seeing flops with hands like this we are generally looking to flop two pair or better. We flopped the 2nd nut flush draw and I like the way we played it to the river.
Once we hit our draw, I am certainly never folding. It's why we practice good bankroll management. We could easily be up against a worse flush or a 6x that is now spazzing out for one reason or another. Point is I am not folding the 2nd nuts at these stakes. At least not very often.
For our opponent to play a full house that passively, they may have left some value on the table. Being all trappy and slow playing hands like this rarely works out...if they cbet flop we call with our draw and one over - bet turn and we call - then we miss river and we fold....if it checks through and we miss river, we fold and they do not get those 2 streets of value - so big mistake on their part as well. They just got lucky we hit our draw and couldnt fold...that's the only reason they made $$ this hand
Point is I am not folding the 2nd nuts at these stakes. At least not very often.
Heros hand was only the 9th nuts, but of course its up for debate, just how likely some of the boats are.
Ye you keep questioning basic decisions because of variance. Not the most profitable mentality to have.
Having said that though, in this spot I'm actually glad you did post it. Just fold this hand preflop. Alternatively squeeze at a low frequency. We're so often second or third best here, so I'm not a huge fan of flatting (this also allows opponents behind to squeeze us out of the pot). Fold or squeeze
If we get down to it sure - but the way the hand played out I feel like I'm against more flushes than full houses. As I mentioned in the post as well,ni think the villan loses a ton of value by being so trappy because when we miss our draw, we give them nothing.
I also want to retouch on people telling the OP to just fold KTs preflop - I think this is a mistake as well. KTo is a snap fold in this spot - but suited broadway hands flop very well and we should be wanting to see flops with them especially in position when we close the action. We just have to be mindful of our actual hand strength and not to overplay marginal made hands. With a hand that blocks so many value combos and can make the nuts in a few different ways - I am always going to take a good price in position to the flop.
I would be more inclined to squeeze KTo or KQo rather than a suited Broadway hand...when we get 4bet here never get to see a flop - and even vs QQ our KTs has decent equity preflop. I tend to squeeze more with hands that have lesser value than with hands that flop so well because of this ideal. I know I am beating a dead horse here - but we just have to understand our relative hand strength and we must not over play/over value marginal made holdings post flop. That's where people make the most mistakes.
What do you think of this draw? What is my mistake in this distribution? Should I check with a flush on the river or should I fold to push? https://www.cardschat.com/replayer/924wyqHNv
What do you think of this draw? What is my mistake in this distribution? Should I check with a flush on the river or should I fold to push? https://www.cardschat.com/replayer/924wyqHNv
What do you think of this draw? What is my mistake in this distribution? Should I check with a flush on the river or should I fold to push? https://www.cardschat.com/replayer/924wyqHNv