M
Morph
Rising Star
Bronze Level
party poker No-Limit Hold'em, 0.25 Double or Nothing Tournament, 300/600 Blinds (7 handed)
MP2 (t3,430)
CO (t1,160)
Button (t2,780)
UTG (t4,190)
MP1 (t1,260)
BB (t5,470)
Hero (SB) (t1,710)
Hero's M: 1.90
Preflop: Hero is SB with 8
, K
5 folds, Hero raises to t1,710 (All-In)
I'm 5th place out of 7 here. I have <2 M like the other two players in 6th and 7th but they will face the blinds first. With K8s I think this is a decent spot for a blind steal.
I have seen villain trapping twice so far so I figure he is an intelligent player (maybe trapping makes him an idiot at the micros?) and figure he is unlikely to call me. I have a tight image and have only played one hand so far in the tournament. Villain is first place with a deep stack. I decide that he is unlikely to call without a monster hand as this is what I would do in his position in order to conserve chips (is it a mistake to project your own strategy/thinking onto other players?) Villain has been quite involved so far though... Maybe he will call with a decent suited ace and some non-premium broadways.
In terms of bet sizing, an all in shove is all I can do here given that with a min-raise I would be committed anyway and with a shove I have a bit more fold equity.
Given that I am already ITM this is probably an insta-fold - forget about fancy plays like blind stealing when you're ahead. Wait and let the two players in 6th and 7th fight it out, then decide if you need to make some moves to stay ITM. This was my initial thinking when reviewing the hand, then I loaded it up in SnGWiz which suggests a push! Obviously the software has calculated that I profit more on average by making the push, but does that override the fact that this is basically an unnecessary risk considering I am ITM? It's going to be tight but this tourney will probably be over in one or two rotations.
In general, should I be playing fit or fold poker at the micros?
TL;DR - Would you shove to steal the blinds here against a competent player or play it safe and try to fold to the money?
MP2 (t3,430)
CO (t1,160)
Button (t2,780)
UTG (t4,190)
MP1 (t1,260)
BB (t5,470)
Hero (SB) (t1,710)
Hero's M: 1.90
Preflop: Hero is SB with 8
5 folds, Hero raises to t1,710 (All-In)
I'm 5th place out of 7 here. I have <2 M like the other two players in 6th and 7th but they will face the blinds first. With K8s I think this is a decent spot for a blind steal.
I have seen villain trapping twice so far so I figure he is an intelligent player (maybe trapping makes him an idiot at the micros?) and figure he is unlikely to call me. I have a tight image and have only played one hand so far in the tournament. Villain is first place with a deep stack. I decide that he is unlikely to call without a monster hand as this is what I would do in his position in order to conserve chips (is it a mistake to project your own strategy/thinking onto other players?) Villain has been quite involved so far though... Maybe he will call with a decent suited ace and some non-premium broadways.
In terms of bet sizing, an all in shove is all I can do here given that with a min-raise I would be committed anyway and with a shove I have a bit more fold equity.
Given that I am already ITM this is probably an insta-fold - forget about fancy plays like blind stealing when you're ahead. Wait and let the two players in 6th and 7th fight it out, then decide if you need to make some moves to stay ITM. This was my initial thinking when reviewing the hand, then I loaded it up in SnGWiz which suggests a push! Obviously the software has calculated that I profit more on average by making the push, but does that override the fact that this is basically an unnecessary risk considering I am ITM? It's going to be tight but this tourney will probably be over in one or two rotations.
In general, should I be playing fit or fold poker at the micros?
TL;DR - Would you shove to steal the blinds here against a competent player or play it safe and try to fold to the money?
