That’s a really good list of predictions!
1. Agree- the growth in attendance at live poker events over the last few years has been marked and coupled with the expansion of on line markets withinthe US, the
wsop could well enjoy a record field.
2. 50/50 -Ali Imsirovic is a force but the competion is stiff. I am not sure we have seen peak Alex Foxen just yet and I can see someone such as a slightly older-school type, a Steve O’Dwyer, going on a heater this year.
3.Agree-the momentum is there, the size of the specific states and their influence significant and as each one enters the fray there is a less convincing argument to be made by those states which are holding out against on-line poker.
4.50/50-Daniel’s best game in recent years was when he took several months off to be coached. He came back and played a new game- he was stoic at the table, did not talk, took a measured time to make each decision and then won 3 million coming second at the Super High Roller Bowl(Bonomo won). However, entering the WSOP afterwards, he reverted back to his normal game (and has done ever since) and another bracelet has eluded him.
5.50/50-I think Postle getting outed will make anyone very wary of pulling a similar stunt.
6.Agree-I think players on (year long) heaters has been a trend for the last several years.
7.Agree– I really like that ‘second tier’ of US players who are only second tier due to slightly lower profiles- they are absolute ballers. I’d put Jake Schindler in that list with Elias.
8.Agree- simple solutions and ideas could be found regarding the re-entry issue (as I have posed) but the present situation suits both the industry and key players (contrary to what they might otherwise claim).
9.Agree-Cates might have an edge in Heads Up NLHE, but I think he’ll struggle against Galfond playing PLO. That said, I believe Cates can afford the challenge and likes the media attention so its sort of a win win either way - somewhat expensive PR but I think Cates enjoys the buzz.
10.50/50-essentially, I agree. However...I presume the plaintiff will request a jury as a jury could potentially give more latitude than a judge. Subsequently a decision could comedown against Postle and a nominal amount be awarded. The mistake was not persuading the police to get involved immediately the matter became public.