Poker Orifice
Fully Tilted
Platinum Level
Well, I asked a question at the end of my post and no one answered it other than the cliche of 'millions of hands needed' to get a grip on variance. Seriously, why?
My question was simple. Every day, all of us witness a player (most frequently the big stack) gain momentum and starting knocking all and sundry out with any two cards. We all (I mean everyone of us) see this 24/7 round the clock -feel free to state otherwise.
As noted, how can Random Number Generation give a player momentum? And then keep repeating that momentum 24 hours a day across all tables...
Well Occum's Razor for me.
The simplest (least conspiracy theory) explanation is that the software is weighted to do so. It would like to keep the MTT on schedule and spark a healthy attrition rate among players. As others have noted before, you could virtually set your clock to how some daily tourneys play down, hit the bubble, then final table. The regularity it risible. And please spare us all the rising blinds excuse, it does not pass muster. Make a direct comparison to live tourneys and note how they can play quickly or slowly.
The things is, I am simply a healthy skeptic, not a losing player - as some cliched poster will always claim about any contrarian poster.
Apart from momentum, I have numerous other issues with online play but so what? I deal with it and accept this is the deck we have to play with - literally and figuratively.
People can opt to play or not and my attitude is limit your exposure.
LOL