In past 3,4 days i have been on a ba downswing.
I have lost 20% of my bankroll just due to bad beats!
I have been first card dead for very long and i try to play as fast and safe and aggresive as possible.
But fishes get there on river.
Not on turn but river.
One player opens from utg with Q3 off i 3 bet him with Aks
He 4 bets i go all in he calls. Flop comes AA2 turn 4 river 5.
Whattttt!!!!
Another player calls my AA big raisr with A7 and hits a runner runner straight.
I open KK player from late pos goes all in with A10 and hits an ace on river.
I get AA utg i open 8× BB.
3 players call. Flop comes 6 9 2 l.
BB shoves his 150$ into pot of 24$ and has QQ. Rivers a Queen.
Another hand on flop i have Aj flop is AJ2.
Player with 44 raises pot i go all in he calls turns a 4.
I have lost 25% of my bankroll just due to bad beats and loose passive fishes playing wrong and getting rewarded!
(((((((
While beats like these can be mind boggling and frustrating, I've got to wonder how or why you've managed to lose 20-25% of your bankroll in 4
hands. You'll want to review BRM (bankroll management) guides to ensure you're not risking too much of your roll while playing. I'm assuming this is online poker?
That said let's take a look and break down each hand you provided to get a deeper perspective on the wildness of micro and low stakes poker: (even though we'd need more info on each hand to understand the dynamics, stack sizes, stakes, format, etc):
Hand 1: While Q3 is a junk starting hand for sure, it's still 30% to win against AKs. If villian was a thinking aggressive player they may have put you on AK or AQ which many people will fold to 4 bet pressure (although whether it's correct to do so is very situation/villain dependent). And if villian was just mashing keys (a la a super fish), they're still 30% to win it lol. AKs is still just A high. Obviously if he called you on the flop or shoved the flop then yes it was a brutal beat, but all in pre...bad but not the worst.
Hand 2: Fish love any Ace suited pockets (A7s), so if suited they LOOOOVE to see flops with them even though the
odds of flopping a flush is only around 2% (thus adding only around 2% value to suited hole cards). Suited connectors are different (esp higher one , like 910s) because they offer the chance when pre flop action is cheap to hit straights, flushes, or at least BIG draws like open enders and flush draws and disguised 2 pairs, etc. But I digress. If villian had a tiny short stack they may shove here with any ace (esp if short in a tournament) but otherwise yes this was a bad beat IF you were all in before the straight became obvious and you played your AA correctly (although if stack sizes were bigger you might have gotten better value from not shoving pre flop).
Hand 3: Standard play, standard cooler. Fish love any Ace. And in this spot, they're STILL a 30% favorite to win when all in pre. You played it fine.
Hand 4: Did you call their massive overbet shove? Or did you bet, they shoved, and you called? In spots like this I'm worried about sets sometimes esp with such a huge overbet, at the same time, big bets like this do often show up as overpairs on low boards like this (esp if the board is draw heavy) so a lot of times QQ is good here against things like AK, AQ, 1010, JJ,, 88, all hands that might be raising preflop.
Villian played the preflop well by not risking their stack with a shove vs your aggression, as for the flop they're facing 2 other players on board that's possibly a draw heavy board (esp is wet) and so they should be betting QQ here, should they be shoving here? Probably not, but a good pot size bet from them is probably what they're needing to correctly do. That said, we can't be too scared of sets here (and sometimes villians shove big draws , I recently folded AA to a big re-raise on a draw heavy flop live and after analysis and villian tendency considerations, they were raising a draw).
Hand 5: I think as played, you played it fine. The 44 shove on that flop is baffling but not unheard of especially if villian had a short stack. I'd classify this as a bad beat.
Overall putting it in perspective, Hand 2 (if you were all in ahead and not going all in when obvious straight is showing) and Hand 5 are the only ones that really stand out as a bad beat. Hand 1 and 3 are rough but 30% to win it isn't really a bad bad beat. Hand 4 seems ok play wise on both ends.
So I'd advise better bankroll management so that you don't lose 20-25% of your bankroll in 4 hands.
As for those commenting about "them knowing the cards to come" or "having special software to detect the next card" that's mostly just magical thinking on their end. There's been maybe, two cases where a superuser was outright cheating from the inside (i.e. UB scandal) and even then they only knew everyone else's hole cards...not the cards to come!
Yes it does sometimes FEEL like these villians "must know" if they're shoving with any two cards but just like we might FEEL like they know, they just "FEEL" like it's their lucky time to shove. I implore anyone who really believes this kind of "they have to know!" thinking to try live 1/2 casino poker and see how often players shove with any two cards and catch miracles. Hell in the One Drop for One Million tourney last week (million dollar buy in) a pro got into a 3 way all in situation with 1010 pre flop...was behind on flop and turn, then hit a 4 (or 6 depending on suits dont recall) outer on river to knock out two players with his rivered 10. So brutal beats happen everywhere and the cards have no memory.
Do some site's RNGs operate in different manners that "might" lead to different frequencies (i.e. distribution and expected frequency is normal but seems like they get clustered together more like AA ever 221 hands on average but a player gets them 4 times in a row!) based on the RNG's mechanism, probably. Does this mean it's rigged or giving a certain player "knowledge of what's to come?" Greatly greatly unlikely. I mean I'm playing on one of the most swingy,wild, shovefest sites I've ever experienced and yet when I look at a hand sample of nearly 20,000 hands I'm getting dealt the expected cards at the expected frequencies overall, even though sometimes it feels like I lose 4 times in a row to 2% miracle rivers!.
So all this aside, welcome to poker. These beats can be maddening for sure...but BRM, solid understanding of odds/math, and just seeing the brutal beats that can happen live or at any stakes helps keep perspective. It;s a long term game.
