This is a discussion on Triple barrel river versus nut with ok blockers within the online poker forums, in the Cash Games section; d this yesterday I thought it was fine to triple barrel because we block so many top pairs/ straights he could have flopped we go
d this yesterday I thought it was fine to triple barrel because we block so many top pairs/ straights he could have flopped we go big because the board is very wet there are a lot of hands he can call with so we need to fold out some of that
in general how should I play this I dont think we ever win If we check-back river
imo I think we can fold hands like A8s A5s ATs 66/ 99-TT JTs KJs AJo/s although his a nit I dont expect him to fold any Qx bw type hands like QT hearts or diamonds
(A8s A5s 66 not as likely by the river)
when he raises I expect him to have at least top2pair we of course fold to a raise AI
re: Poker & Triple barrel river versus nut with ok blockers
This is a very coordinated board, and you are out of position, so I am not going to be C-betting a lot here. You did hit a little something though with a gutshot, a BDFD and an overcard, so overall I think, this C-bet is ok.
You picked up 4 additional outs to a straight, and for that reason I would also fire another barrel. I am not sure about the sizing though. Does almost full pot really generate that many more folds than say 60% pot?
It was not a great bluffing card, because you should never really have a naked 7X, that takes this line. So from an exploitative old-school standpoint I lean towards not having any bluffs here. But that being said KT has to be one of the worst hands, you can arrive with on the river in this way, so bluffing can not be that bad. If I had to guess, he probably flopped a set but was scared of the straight, and thats why, he did not raise you until the river. And in that case you obviously just ran into the top of his range.
On the same flop, I fell into the same trap as you were about 2 hours ago in 6+ Hold'em. Only on my hands I had QQ. My perflop raise, continuation bet on a doubles board, villain calls, turn he calls too. I think this is not a bluff, but a sign of strength. Your opponent was pulling a set across all the streets, which turned into a full house on the river.