Tip the odds of winning in your favor

RagsRGold

RagsRGold

Rising Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Jul 17, 2020
Total posts
13
Chips
0
Are you someone constantly reloading online? rebuying at a live table, feeling like online is rigged? Fear not, it is very possible to tip the odds in your favor by following some simple math!! It has been observed that players who consistently end up on tha winning side play only about 22% of their hands and sensibly fold 78- 80 % of their hands! Basically you should be playing 15 20 hands an entire session or 2.5 hands an hour if it's an 8 hour session. Did you know there is 169 possible starting hands in poker and of those only five are considered excellent hands AK(suited) AA KK QQ JJ. You can deviate from this playing more or less hands depending on tha types of opponents at your table if opponents are aggressive play less if they are fairly passive play more hands. (Being skilled is a plus) it is ok to bluff, but the best bluff is when you control the outcome. Hope this helps some of you get on tha winning track!!!:D:cool: as always good luck on tha felt:bandit:
 
vinnie

vinnie

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Apr 12, 2013
Total posts
1,208
Awards
1
US
Chips
50
It has been observed that players who consistently end up on tha winning side play only about 22% of their hands and sensibly fold 78- 80 % of their hands!

How much does this percentage vary among winning players? Are there losing players who only play 22% of their hands? How strongly does percentage of hands played relate to being a winner or a loser? Are there winning players who play more or less than this amount?

Basically you should be playing 15 20 hands an entire session or 2.5 hands an hour if it's an 8 hour session.
I see 400 hands an hour. Should I still only play 2.5 hands an hour? Even if I was to 1 table, 22% of the hands I see would be 15 hands.

Did you know there is 169 possible starting hands in poker and of those only five are considered excellent hands AK(suited) AA KK QQ JJ.
So we should only play these hands? That's 2.1% of all hands, not 22%. People playing this tight won't be a winner, I can promise you that. But you provide no guidance on what the other 20% of the hands are that they should be playing.

How am I supposed to use this information you have provided?
 
O

Oxinthewater

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Apr 21, 2020
Total posts
274
Chips
4
I appreciate that this post might have been provided in good faith, so thanks and all, but I'm not sure this is pitched at the right level for the audience :cool:
 
P

pablo lima

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Jun 17, 2020
Total posts
159
Chips
0
I believe this is my evil in poker because I like to play a lot of hands it ends up hurting me
 
ADRI7HO

ADRI7HO

On the road...
Loyaler
Joined
May 6, 2020
Total posts
6,958
Awards
9
Chips
320
I also think that 2.5 hands per hour is about enough to eat the blinds in 3 hours and it’s over. Not to mention that your opponents will soon get to know your game and will know you have a premium card. So there won’t really be anyone to pay your top card because everyone will soon realize you’re tight.
If poker could be played so easily, everyone would play that way and in the end everyone would win and lose the same amount, so the game would be completely equal. In the long run, there would be neither losers nor winners.
 
RagsRGold

RagsRGold

Rising Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Jul 17, 2020
Total posts
13
Chips
0
How much does this percentage vary among winning players? Are there losing players who only play 22% of their hands? How strongly does percentage of hands played relate to being a winner or a loser? Are there winning players who play more or less than this amount?

I see 400 hands an hour. Should I still only play 2.5 hands an hour? Even if I was to 1 table, 22% of the hands I see would be 15 hands.

So we should only play these hands? That's 2.1% of all hands, not 22%. People playing this tight won't be a winner, I can promise you that. But you provide no guidance on what the other 20% of the hands are that they should be playing.

How am I supposed to use this information you have provided?
I did not pull these numbers out of thin air these statistics are based on a casino poker room 8 hour session. You should realistically only be in 1 to 2 big hands an hour running hot or cold changes these numbers. I did not crunch tha numbers for an online setting which I'm assuming your referring too seeing you said 400 hands an hour obviously these statistics do not apply to online for a host of reasons Faster action equals more hands multi games going equals more hands also one could say yes poker is poker but online is totally different gaming experience then live action sorry for the confusion :cool:
 
RagsRGold

RagsRGold

Rising Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Jul 17, 2020
Total posts
13
Chips
0
I appreciate that this post might have been provided in good faith, so thanks and all, but I'm not sure this is pitched at the right level for the audience :cool:
My post refers to a casino poker room 8 hour session those numbers are accurate running hot or cold can change these numbers I did not crunch the numbers for online that's a lot of math seeing the massive amount of hands one could potentially see in an hour depending how fast the games is multi games going etc I stand by my post and maybe I shouldn't have mentioned online in my introduction so I understand people's confusion.:icon_rr::cool::cool:
 
RagsRGold

RagsRGold

Rising Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Jul 17, 2020
Total posts
13
Chips
0
I also think that 2.5 hands per hour is about enough to eat the blinds in 3 hours and it’s over. Not to mention that your opponents will soon get to know your game and will know you have a premium card. So there won’t really be anyone to pay your top card because everyone will soon realize you’re tight.
If poker could be played so easily, everyone would play that way and in the end everyone would win and lose the same amount, so the game would be completely equal. In the long run, there would be neither losers nor winners.
I'm referring to a casino poker room 8 hour session it doesn't matter 8f people know you only play premium hands action will come regardless because of the cards your opponents hold basically people play what they wanna play when they wanna play it I will say that running hot or cold can change these numbers logically but I stand by what I'm saying no worries.:icon_rr::cool:
 
vinnie

vinnie

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Apr 12, 2013
Total posts
1,208
Awards
1
US
Chips
50
I did not pull these numbers out of thin air these statistics are based on a casino poker room 8 hour session. You should realistically only be in 1 to 2 big hands an hour running hot or cold changes these numbers. I did not crunch tha numbers for an online setting which I'm assuming your referring too seeing you said 400 hands an hour obviously these statistics do not apply to online for a host of reasons Faster action equals more hands multi games going equals more hands also one could say yes poker is poker but online is totally different gaming experience then live action sorry for the confusion :cool:

First, you said nothing about live or online. But, even if you said live, these numbers don't line up with your advice. You say that people should play 22% of their hands. If they only play 2 hands an hour, that means they are seeing only 9 hands an hour. I know live poker is slow, but it's not that slow. Live poker you usually see 25-40 hands an hour, depending on dealer and players. 1-2 hands an hour is still way too low.

Second, you didn't address any of my other questions. Playing 2.1% of your hands is so low, and so tight, as to be unprofitable. You say play 22%, but you give no other advice about how to choose that other 20% and when/where to play them.

Your advice is so simplified and incomplete as to be impossible to implement.
 
Poker Odds - Pot & Implied Odds - Odds Calculator
Top