Hand review

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nickwfwong

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Hey guys hope everyone is keeping safe

Wanted to share a hand with you all and see how you would have played it.

Was in casino before lock down and was in a £1/£2 game.

Played for about 2 hours and brought in £80 and was up £300 and almost end of the night. In middle position and dealt K-2 diamonds and called blind and cut off called and small blind called.

Flop is K-K-9 with 2 hearts.

Small blind bets £50, tempted to raise as two hearts but just make the call. The cut off with biggest stake and covers us both goes all in. Small blind folds.

The player who went all in typically played strong hands from observation.

What would you have done at this point?
 
vinnie

vinnie

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The SB bet 50 into a pot of 8? And you called. Then the CO shoves for more than 300? The bet sizing makes no sense here.
 
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AceZWylD

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This would be an easy fold. There is no confidence in the kicker, the small blind raised 25x the BB and was pushed. With a flush draw out there, there are too many bad outcomes here to continue.
 
rastapapolos

rastapapolos

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I think it's an easy fold, there's a flush draw and you have a K with no kicker. CO could have a K with a better kicker or maybe have already a full house and trying to look weak by jamming. try to consider the odds if everyone limped there's 8£ in the pot. SB over betted the pot and giving you almost 1.1to1 odds i think you should fold at this point unless you had a read on him.
The CO who sees the action in front of him and jamming... i think he knew that at least one of you had a K and will make the call.
 
greatgame230

greatgame230

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Betting on the flop is very strange, but let's analyze for a moment the decision you should make, although your kicker does not exist, you only have two ways of losing that one of the opponents has the other K with a better kicker or that they would have called with 99 in the pre-flop in both seems very unlikely since the first is indicated by the statistics and in the second it is not consistent with the fact that these players who raise in the flop in this way only call with a pair in the pre- flop, there must be flush draw for sure I think that in fact some should have at least two hearts but at that point you should be winning and they need to connect a possible 9-out card, and complete the flush I think at that point all the indicators tell you that you should risk and look for the money for me is an easy call
 
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nickwfwong

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Thanks for the insight guys and interesting that some of you say easy fold or should call. It was a bit of a weird size betting for sure, 50 and then all in.

For the record I folded as my kicker was so low, I had him on a K with higher kicker. I looked him in the eye and told him I had a K and he said you should call. He didn’t show me his cards or bluff. Guess will never know lol

Thanks guys
 
vinnie

vinnie

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If this player plays 100% of his hands pre-flop, and shoves every time he has a flush draw or trips or better, you aren't ahead very much here. He has 6 full houses, 43 trips (almost all of which are dominating you), and 55 flush draws. That's if he calls with every single hand preflop. This means he has 10h-2h in his range, which is insane.

Against a 60% range (which is not impossible for live players overlimping), he still has all the Kx, 99 combos (49 total and most which are crushing you), but only 40-41 flush combos.

But, I think all that is moot. It is absolutely suicidal to shove over this action with a flush draw on a KKx board. On a lower, unpaired, board you can sometimes shove flush draws profitably. But, here a flush draw has less than 26% against your hand. It is essentially drawing dead against 99 and K9. And, think about what happened before it got to the CO. One player bet 6x pot, and then got cold-called. For sure one of you has a K. If he shoves and you both call, he is risking 300 to win 600, not getting nearly the price he needs with <26% equity.

Unless your opponent has shown suicidal bluffing tendencies in the past, this is an trivial fold. At best, he has a king with a bad kicker (under 9)... and you can tie him if another high card comes. I don't overthink these decisions live at these stakes. He has watched two players demonstrate overwhelming interest in this tiny pot, and he still wants to get 150xbb involved? Yeah, he can have it.
 
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bempassado

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I think it's an easy fold, there's a flush draw and you have a K with no kicker. CO could have a K with a better kicker or maybe have already a full house and trying to look weak by jamming. try to consider the odds if everyone limped there's 8£ in the pot. SB over betted the pot and giving you almost 1.1to1 odds i think you should fold at this point unless you had a read on him.
The CO who sees the action in front of him and jamming... i think he knew that at least one of you had a K and will make the call.


Make theses my words.
 
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UkoChebuko

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Open limp with K2s , HJ. If you play, like that, you should know what the players are. We don't ... However with no info, I will fold vs this huge overbet from the small blind. Maybe I will go All in with K8+...

As played, fold as well...
 
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