Sheesh, no one comments when I'm gone I see
A9s: I'm little worried that jamming the river will look super polarizing (do we raise worse than straights for value?), but we really do look like we have an 8 a lot of the time, or even some backdoor flushes that had a pair or gutter + backdoor FD on flop. Prob fine as his range isn't that strong, but depending on good of a hand-reader he is and how aggro he thinks we are I'm wary.
JJ: Guessing you had some sort of read here? Otherwise I don't get it unless you're turning your hand into a
bluff, which I think is terrible. We have so many better combos we could bluff. So I assume you're value jamming. But I think his turn raise is pretty polarizing to two pair+ and air/draws. I guess he still calls off some draws? But I'm not sure how many combos he has. I guess there's an argument that we'd make mistakes on rivers, but seems we can just call and play semi-perfectly? Bleh, I'm back and forth cause idk if he's jamming air on rivers. Mixed feelings!
QJ: CO stats? Not sure if I get pre if villain is an unknown - do we assume massive fish for unknowns who are so short? Otherwise seems thin but not sure. Anyway flop is standard except just size bigger imo. Turn is weird because again no stats at all and idk what the play of the population is for people who are unknown and are in short. Like we might be so far ahead that we should always jam, or we could even be behind, depending on kind of fish. I'm probably jamming though to gii vs. combo draws or worse two pairs that make massive mistakes gii vs. us.
AK: Ugh. I mean, he reps so thin for value, so I think it's ok. Like his value combos are like 77, 66, 33 (maybe 1-2 combos), 76s, which is 7-8 combos. He doesn't need much air at all for this to be ok, so I guess it's ok. I just don't know how much air people have in this spot since it's super dry. 98s I guess? Not sure what else though.
98s: Unsure about pre. Not excited about calling OOP when UTG's tight, uncapped range is still to act behind us. Flop is standard I think, but I prefer x/c on the turn. Yeah we have more pot equity, but did we pick up any more FE? I don't really think so personally.
65s: Again not sure if this is a standard flat OOP. I know our skill edge goes up when deeper stacked, but so does positional edge. I kind of like donking turn tbh, because it will throw him off, his value hands may not raise, and if he DOES raise we're still getting the right price to continue. But I def play it the same as you a lot of the time. River is fine I think. He should have more air than value here imo. Many of his flop/turn value combos may slow down OTR.
T8: Pre is whatever, we're deep and over-calling so I'm ok with it. Flop standard, turn lol-sizing, you fool
River is sexy. Most of his range is things that will call nothing or only small amounts (stubborn PP) or will call massive (backdoor flushes and Ax). VNH sir.
