Crushing NL5

T

tkornel666

Rising Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Jan 5, 2020
Total posts
1
Chips
0
Hello guys! First of all sorry for bad english. 3 months ago i started my bankroll challange from 30 $. i crushed nl 2 with 9 bb / 100 over 40k hands, so i started to play at nl5. I played 7000 hands, i know this is little size to decide my real winrate, but im crushing it so hard. Is this 7000 hands a good sample to decide my nl5 carrer ? Thank you for answer!

There is a photo of my NL5 winrate :
(My BB /100 is 23,71)

https://imgur.com/edit?deletehash=WD6PpnI7qkGpVwG&album_id=jkJnBwo
 
Loky13

Loky13

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Aug 2, 2017
Total posts
134
Chips
0
Simple way of knowing, try it and if u crush it as well, you're ready, if you lose, you're not ready :))
 
Edgerik

Edgerik

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Aug 2, 2018
Total posts
1,195
Awards
2
VE
Chips
32
I recommend that you play about 20,000 hands in NL5 if your BB/100 is over 15 is a good time to climb.
 
N

neafana

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Sep 12, 2013
Total posts
249
Awards
1
Chips
3
play at least 30.000 hands.I was playing 7000 hands on 6max 10nl and I was crushing it. 12BB/100. And guess what..., in another 2000 hands I have lost almost everything...

Play 100k hands and you will know for sure.
 
F

fundiver199

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
Jun 3, 2019
Total posts
13,514
Awards
1
Chips
308
Variance is still very large over 7k hands, and most likely this was a sunshine run. If variance is 100, which is typical for 6-max, there is 30% chance of running 12 BB/100 below or above average, and there is 5% chance of running 24 BB/100 below or above average. So there is actually around 2,5% risk, you are not even a winning player at 5NL.

That being said there is not a huge gap in the average skill level from 5NL to 10NL, so if the bankroll is large enough, maybe its fine to start taking some shots at 10NL already. GG Poker has no limit below 10NL now, and there is something to be said for not spending your time on real money cash games below 10NL. There are still plenty of recs at 10NL, since for many 10$ is a nice amount of money to gamble with at a time.

https://www.primedope.com/poker-variance-calculator/
 
M

maxi_j

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
May 6, 2019
Total posts
230
Chips
0
After 40 000 hands your real winrate teoreticaly can be beatwean -1.00 BB/100 and 19.00 BB/100. If you have bankroll aand confidence just move up.

5 years ago I had ~ 13 BB/100 at NL2 (300 K hands) and 3 BB/100 at NL5 (50 K hands). poker stars Zoom.
 
E

EarnDAStack

Visionary
Bronze Level
Joined
Jan 13, 2019
Total posts
584
Awards
1
Chips
26
I agree with most of the previous posters on 7,000 hands it being enough for a good sample, but I also thinks it’s important for personal growth to play in games that challenge you. If you have a really good winrate over a few thousand hands I don’t think it would be the worst thing to try a few secessions at 10NL to see where you fit in so long as you maintain proper BRM while doing so. If you can beat 10NL at a lower winrate I still think it will help you improve your game more by playing against better opponents
 
jordanbillie

jordanbillie

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Dec 19, 2007
Total posts
3,742
Awards
3
Chips
161
If your bankroll can support it, jump up and try it out. It's that simple.
 
10gerka

10gerka

Visionary
Platinum Level
Joined
Aug 6, 2018
Total posts
968
Awards
3
Chips
126
if you are winning in nl 5, continue playing at that level at least 20 thousand hands to see your performance, and in the process you increase your bankroll, study hard so that you go to the other level because you will see more competition, do not start at the beginning if you are losing, so they are all at the beginning of a new level until you adapt and give your best game, lucky brother.
 
sanych

sanych

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
Mar 29, 2016
Total posts
4,110
Awards
6
Chips
157
50-100k hands will be enough to estimate winrate.
7к is too unrepresentative:)
 
Top