Two pair on scary board vs loose player

loopmeister

loopmeister

Rock Star
Joined
Aug 14, 2006
Total posts
332
6 Max. $0.30 / $0.60 (equivalent U.S.$) ring game

Villain is loose passive preflop (60/2) and gets more aggressive towards the river TA = 1, RA = 2.

** Game ID 47383878 starting - 2008-03-21 17:07:40
** Bug Spray [Hold 'em] (2.00|4.00 No Limit - Cash Game) real money

- Pietman_call sitting in seat 1 with $352.16
- lizard sitting in seat 2 with $90.23
- NKM sitting in seat 3 with $291.00
- Richieboy sitting in seat 4 with $275.52
- m1956p sitting in seat 5 with $147.25 [Sitting out]
- loopy sitting in seat 6 with $347.00 [Dealer]

Pietman_call posted the small blind - $2.00
lizard posted the big blind - $4.00
** Dealing card to loopy: Jack of Spades, Ace of Hearts
NKM called - $4.00
Richieboy folded
loopy raised - $16.00
Pietman_call folded
lizard folded
NKM called - $16.00

** Dealing the flop: Jack of Diamonds, Ace of Clubs, King of Clubs
NKM checked
loopy bet - $28.00
NKM called - $28.00

** Dealing the turn: 7 of Clubs
NKM checked

My thinking at this point. His range from weakest to strongest:
He called the flop bet, so he has, at worst Ax. Next best for me would be 99/TT. More likely, a flush draw, which is now made. If he has the Qc and a blank, he's still drawing strong. Most likely a better two pair, a set, a straight or a flush.

Is a check-fold the right move? Or do you bet out again against a fish? If I bet, I'm pot-committed, or close to it. If I shove, will I get a set to fold? (Probably, yes, say 60% of the time.)
 
loopmeister

loopmeister

Rock Star
Joined
Aug 14, 2006
Total posts
332
I forgot to mention, my image is reasonably TAG 20/11/2.5 for this session
 
loopmeister

loopmeister

Rock Star
Joined
Aug 14, 2006
Total posts
332
I'm moving house tomorrow and won't have an internet connection for at least a week, so I'd really like to get some views on this hand before I head upcountry (basically, I think I played it right, but I'm not totally sure). I'd appreciate your thoughts/discussions.
 
Richyl2008

Richyl2008

Visionary
Joined
Mar 14, 2008
Total posts
731
I definatley would not shove here. I would probably be more inclined to check behind on the turn and call a river bet that does not contain a club
 
B

BigStakes101

Guest
Joined
Mar 14, 2008
Total posts
17
ya a shove definiitly isn't the way to go because we're only getting called with a better hand so i would say a check call a non club is the right way to go.
 
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